Match Info

EUROPE: European Rugby Champions Cup - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	beIN Sports
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Bordeaux Bègles		Saracens

	1	X	2
	1.33	26	3.4
	1.36	23	3.2
	1.36	18	3.4
	1.36	23	3.3
	1.37	23	3.4
	1.36	25	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.25)	23 ↑ (22.5)	3.31 ↓ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 52.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bordeaux Bègles
68.1%

Draw
4%

Saracens
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.7%

4.1%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bordeaux Bègles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bordeaux Bègles's form might have worsened.

Saracens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saracens's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	12.5%	50%

Bordeaux Bègles - Saracens Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Bordeaux Bègles will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Saracens will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Saracens: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:23

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Poirot J.	1. Vunipola M.
2. Lamothe M.	2. George J. (C)
3. Tameifuna B.	3. Judge C.
4. Cazeaux C.	4. Itoje M.
5. Coleman A.	5. Tizard H.
6. Miquel A.	6. McFarland T.
7. Samu P.	7. Earl B.
8. Tatafu T.	8. Vunipola B.
9. Lucu M. (C)	9. van Zyl I.
10. Garcia M.	10. Goode A.
11. Bielle-Biarrey L.	11. Lewington A.
12. Moefana Y.	12. Tompkins N.
13. Depoortere N.	13. Cinti L.
14. Penaud D.	14. Maitland S.
15. Buros R.	15. Daly E.
Substitutes
16. Laterrade R.	16. Dan T.
17. Kaulashvili L.	17. Mawi E.
18. Sadie C.	18. Riccioni M.
19. Douglas K.	19. Gonzalez J.
20. Jolmes T.	20. Willis T.
21. Petti G.	21. Simpson G.
22. Lesgourgues Y.	22. Vunipola M.
23. Uberti P.	23. Hartley O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (10 - 0)
29', Lucu M. (Penalty Goal),
35', Itoje M. 🟨,
36', Garcia M. (Try),
37', Lucu M. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (35 - 12)
48', Garcia M. (Try),
49', Lucu M. (Conversion Goal),
60', Depoortere N. (Try),
62', Lucu M. (Conversion Goal),
63', Bielle-Biarrey L. (Try),
64', Lucu M. (Conversion Goal),
68', Depoortere N. (Try),
69', Garcia M. (Conversion Goal),
71', Lewington A. (Try),
76', Bielle-Biarrey L. (Try),
77', Garcia M. (Conversion Goal),
78', Willis T. (Try),
80', Goode A. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Recent matches Bordeaux Bègles is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Saracens could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bordeaux Bègles is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Bordeaux Bègles to win the game is with odds 1.32.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bordeaux Bègles won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 55-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Bordeaux Bègles won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 55-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Bordeaux Bègles
French Top 14
30.03.24	Lyon - Bordeaux Bègles	27:10 ✺
24.03.24	Bordeaux Bègles - Toulouse	31:28 ✺
09.03.24	Montpellier - Bordeaux Bègles	10:3 ✺
02.03.24	Bordeaux Bègles - Racing Métro	21:5 ✺
24.02.24	Castres - Bordeaux Bègles	41:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLWL
- Saracens FC
English Premiership Rugby
29.03.24	Northampton Saints - Saracens	41:30 ✺
23.03.24	Saracens - Harlequins	52:7 ✺
27.01.24	Saracens - Exeter Chiefs	40:22 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
20.01.24	Saracens - Lyon	39:24 ✺
14.01.24	Bordeaux Bègles - Saracens	55:15 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

European Rugby Champions Cup
14.01.24	Bordeaux Bègles - Saracens	55:15

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