The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bordeaux Bègles 72.9%
Draw 3%
Castres 24.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
83.9%
3.8%
12.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bordeaux Bègles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bordeaux Bègles's form might have worsened.
Castres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castres's recent form is better than expected.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
Bordeaux Bègles - Castres Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Bordeaux Bègles will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Castres will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 35:23
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Perchaud M.
1. Walcker Q.
2. Sa C.
2. Zarantonello L.
3. Sadie C.
3. Azar A.
4. Palu B.
4. Ducat G.
5. Coleman A.
5. Vanverberghe F.
6. Vergnes-Taillefer B.
6. Delaporte B. (C)
7. Woki C.
7. Ardron T.
8. Gazzotti M.
8. Papalii A.
9. Lucu M. (C)
9. Fernandez J.
10. Laharrague J.
10. Popelin P.
11. Rayasi S.
11. Baget R.
12. Janse van Rensburg R.
12. Botitu V.
13. Uberti P.
13. Karawalevu V.
14. Penaud D.
14. Ambadiang C.
15. Buros R.
15. Chabouni T.
Substitutes
16. Poirot J.
16. Durand T.
17. Boniface U.
17. Galisson L.
18. Cazeaux C.
18. Staniforth T.
19. Gardrat R.
19. Maravat G.
20. Jacobs T.
20. Babillot M.
21. Retiere A.
21. Arata S.
22. Mousques X.
22. Herve E.
23. Tameifuna B.
23. Chilachava L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (33 - 17)
9', Chabouni T. (Try),
11', Rayasi S. (Try),
11', Lucu M. (Conversion Goal),
13', Woki C. (Try),
13', Lucu M. (Conversion Goal),
16', Walcker Q. 🟨,
16', Laharrague J. (Penalty Try),
17', Penaud D. (Try),
17', Lucu M. (Conversion Goal),
25', Botitu V. (Try),
25', Fernandez J. (Conversion Goal),
27', Rayasi S. 🟨,
32', Sadie C. (Try),
36', Papalii A. (Try),
2nd Half (24 - 15)
43', Ambadiang C. (Try),
43', Fernandez J. (Conversion Goal),
51', Vergnes-Taillefer B. (Try),
52', Lucu M. (Conversion Goal),
62', Popelin P. (Penalty Goal),
65', Lucu M. (Penalty Goal),
65', Baget R. (Try),
80', Rayasi S. (Try),
80', Lucu M. (Conversion Goal),
80+4', Penaud D. (Try),
80+7', (Conversion Goal),
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bordeaux Bègles won 4.
Bordeaux Bègles is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Castres has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Bordeaux Bègles is the clear favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bordeaux Bègles won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 441:441. (average 22.1:22.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Bordeaux Bègles won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 196:166. (average 21.8:18.4).
France
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Perchaud M. 
Sadie C. 
Coleman A. 
Ardron T. 
Papalii A. 
Rayasi S. 
Ambadiang C. 
Arata S. 
Tameifuna B. 
Chilachava L. 
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