Match Info

European Rugby Champions Cup - Round 3

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday

Location: Stade Pierre-Fabre (Castres)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Nigeria	SuperSport Rugby
Portugal	Sport TV7
South-africa	SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby
United-kingdom	FloRugby.com, FloSports app, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player


	Castres		Bath

	1	X	2
	3.4	26	1.33
	3.6	24	1.3
	3.5	23	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↓ (3.73)	24.33 ↓ (25)	1.31 ↑ (1.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 45.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Castres
26.2%

Draw
3.8%

Bath
70%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

3.7%

71.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Bath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Castres - Bath Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Bath will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bath will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:27

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Walcker Q.	1. Obano B.
2. Durand T.	2. Dunn T.
3. Collier W.	3. Sela B.
4. Ducat G.	4. Roux Q.
5. Vanverberghe F.	5. Molony R.
6. Delaporte B. (C)	6. Hill T.
7. Cope B.	7. Reid M.
8. Ardron T.	8. Barbeary A.
9. Fernandez J.	9. Spencer B. (C)
10. Popelin P.	10. Russell F.
11. Hulleu N.	11. Muir W.
12. Goodhue J.	12. Redpath C.
13. Karawalevu V.	13. Ojomoh M.
14. Ambadiang C.	14. Arundell H.
15. Chabouni T.	15. Carreras S.
Substitutes
16. Zarantonello L.	16. Tuipulotu K.
17. Sokobale A.	17. van Wyk F.
18. Corato N.	18. du Toit T.
19. Staniforth T.	19. Bayliss J.
20. Meka S.	20. Pepper G.
21. Doubrere G.	21. Carr-Smith T.
22. Herve E.	22. Butt W.
23. Palis G.	23. Cokanasiga J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (17 - 21)
5', Durand T. (Try),
6', Fernandez J. (Conversion Goal),
11', Redpath C. (Try),
12', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
13', Obano B. 🟨,
15', Hulleu N. (Try),
16', Fernandez J. (Conversion Goal),
23', Muir W. 🟨,
32', Hill T. (Try),
33', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
36', Dunn T. (Try),
36', Durand T. 🟨,
37', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
40', Fernandez J. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (3 - 22)
46', Obano B. (Try),
56', Fernandez J. (Penalty Goal),
61', Russell F. (Penalty Goal),
70', Muir W. (Try),
71', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
75', Ducat G. 🟨,
77', Carr-Smith T. (Try),
78', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Bath is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Castres Olympique
French Top 14
03.01.26	Stade Français - Castres	33:15 ✺
27.12.25	Castres - Lyon	36:22 ✺
20.12.25	Montpellier - Castres	33:31 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
14.12.25	Castres - Edinburgh	33:0 ✺
07.12.25	Gloucester - Castres	34:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLWL
- Bath Rugby
English Premiership Rugby
03.01.26	Bath - Exeter Chiefs	33:26 ✺
27.12.25	Bath - Northampton Saints	21:41 ✺
21.12.25	Newcastle Red Bulls - Bath	14:50 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
14.12.25	Toulon - Bath	45:34 ✺
06.12.25	Bath - Munster	40:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWLW

Upcoming Matches