Match Info

European Rugby Champions Cup - Round 1

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Edinburgh Rugby Stadium (Edinburgh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Rugby
France	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport Rugby
Portugal	Sport TV7
South-africa	SuperSport Rugby
United-kingdom	FloRugby.com, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby


	Edinburgh		Toulon

	1	X	2
	2.7	21	1.5
	2.85	21	1.45
	4.05	20.63	1.27	Watch
	2.75	21	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.87)	20.91 ↑ (19.67)	1.43 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 44.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Edinburgh
30.2%

Draw
4.5%

Toulon
65.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

4.7%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edinburgh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Toulon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Edinburgh - Toulon Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Edinburgh will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Toulon will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:25

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Lineups


1. Schoeman P.	1. Gros J. B.
2. Ashman E.	2. Baubigny T.
3. Blyth-Lafferty O.	3. Sinckler K.
4. Sykes M.	4. Ribbans D. (C)
5. Gilchrist G.	5. Alainu'uese B.
6. McConnell L.	6. Ludlam L.
7. Richardson D.	7. Abadie E.
8. Bradbury M. (C)	8. Mercer Z.
9. Vellacott B.	9. White B.
10. Scott C.	10. Garbisi P.
11. van der Merwe D.	11. Ferte M.
12. Thomson F.	12. Sinzelle J.
13. Goosen W.	13. Brex N.
14. Graham D.	14. Drean G.
15. Paterson H.	15. Jaminet M.
16. Morris H.	16. Toevalu J.
17. Venter B.	17. Ametlla L.
18. Hill P.	18. Priso D.
19. Young G.	19. Mezou C.
20. Douglas F.	20. Karaba J.
21. Shiel C.	21. Serin B.
22. Lang J.	22. Garcia M.
23. O'Conor P.	23. Smaili M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (18 - 17)
2', Jaminet M. (Drop Goal),
6', White B. (Try),
7', Jaminet M. (Conversion Goal),
10', Scott C. (Penalty Goal),
14', Schoeman P. (Try),
15', Scott C. (Conversion Goal),
21', White B. (Try),
22', Jaminet M. (Conversion Goal),
29', Vellacott B. (Try),
34', Scott C. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (15 - 3)
54', Scott C. (Penalty Goal),
55', Garcia M. (Penalty Goal),
60', (Penalty Try),
75', Venter B. (Try),

Preview

In recent matches, Toulon has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Edinburgh may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Toulon could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Edinburgh won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 68:31. (average 34:15.5).

Including home match between the teams, Edinburgh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 40:14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edinburgh Rugby
United Rugby Championship
29.11.25	Edinburgh - Ospreys	19:17 ✺
25.10.25	Cardiff Rugby - Edinburgh	20:19 ✺
17.10.25	Edinburgh - Benetton Treviso	43:0 ✺
10.10.25	Munster - Edinburgh	20:19 ✺
27.09.25	Zebre - Edinburgh	31:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLWLL
- RC Toulonnais
French Top 14
29.11.25	Toulon - Montauban	54:28 ✺
23.11.25	Stade Français - Toulon	51:24 ✺
08.11.25	Toulon - La Rochelle	39:14 ✺
01.11.25	Toulon - Lyon	54:21 ✺
26.10.25	Toulouse - Toulon	59:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

European Rugby Champions Cup
12.01.19	Toulon - Edinburgh	17:28
20.10.18	Edinburgh - Toulon	40:14

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