The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Canon Eagles 38.7%
Draw 4.8%
Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath 56.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61%
4.7%
34.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.5%
5.4%
30.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Canon Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Canon Eagles's form might have worsened.
Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canon Eagles than the current prediction. (+30.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Canon Eagles, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath than the current prediction. (-26.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Canon Eagles - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:30
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Okabe T.
1. Kobayashi K.
2. Nakamura S.
2. Horikoshi K. (C)
3. Iwaihara R.
3. Kakinaga S.
4. Moli L.
4. Hosea T.
5. Philip M.
5. Hockings H.
6. Brown M.
6. Shimokawa K.
7. Vakalahi S.
7. Oketani S.
8. Leleimafi A.
8. Tui H.
9. Arai K.
9. Saito N.
10. Tamura Y. (C)
10. Takamoto M.
11. Takezawa M.
11. Kolbe C.
12. Tabata R.
12. Nakamura R.
13. Kriel J.
13. Punivai I.
14. Matsui C.
14. Ozaki S.
15. Ogura J.
15. Matsushima K.
Substitutes
16. Kawamura S.
16. Miyazaki T.
17. Ahn C.
17. Yamamoto A.
18. Sugimoto T.
18. Nakano K.
19. Nasamila L.
19. Jeffries S.
20. Shimada N.
20. Yamamoto K.
21. Amano T.
21. Ioane T.
22. van Rensburg R. J.
22. Ozaki T.
23. Fukuhara R.
23. Emi S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (26 - 14)
4', Matsui C. (Try),
5', Tamura Y. (Conversion Goal),
13', Matsushima K. (Try),
14', Takamoto M. (Conversion Goal),
18', Moli L. (Try),
24', Matsui C. (Try),
25', Tamura Y. (Conversion Goal),
29', Ogura J. (Try),
31', Tamura Y. (Conversion Goal),
36', Kakinaga S. (Try),
37', Takamoto M. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (7 - 26)
42', Matsui C. (Try),
43', Tamura Y. (Conversion Goal),
45', Kobayashi K. (Try),
46', Takamoto M. (Conversion Goal),
52', Ioane T. (Try),
53', Takamoto M. (Conversion Goal),
75', Ioane T. (Try),
80', Emi S. (Try),
80+1', Kolbe C. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
Recent matches Canon Eagles is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Suntory Sungoliath is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Suntory Sungoliath will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Canon Eagles won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 122-138.
Including matches at home between the teams Canon Eagles won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 62-71.
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Okabe T. 
Moli L. 
Hosea T. 
Brown M. 
Kolbe C. 
Jeffries S. 
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