Match Info

Date: 5 May 2022, Thursday


	Carcassonne		Aviron Bayonnais

	1	X	2
	2.6	19	1.5
	2.55	23	1.53
	2.65	21	1.49
	2.5	19	1.53
	2.59	25	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2)	21.4 ↑ (15)	1.52 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 44.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Carcassonne
35.5%

Draw
4.3%

Aviron Bayonnais
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

5.9%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

5.8%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carcassonne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carcassonne's form might have worsened.

Aviron Bayonnais has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aviron Bayonnais's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carcassonne than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carcassonne, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aviron Bayonnais than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aviron Bayonnais, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Carcassonne - Aviron Bayonnais Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Carcassonne will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Bayonne will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:25

#ad

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Carcassonne won 0.

Recent matches Carcassonne is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bayonne is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bayonne will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Carcassonne won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 135-195.

Including matches at home between the teams Carcassonne won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 76-58.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Carcassonne
French Pro D2
22.04.22	FC Grenoble - Carcassonne	28:23 ✺
15.04.22	Carcassonne - Stade Aurillacois	54:24 ✺
08.04.22	Nevers - Carcassonne	19:17 ✺
31.03.22	Carcassonne - Colomiers	24:18 ✺
11.03.22	Agen - Carcassonne	22:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLWL
- Aviron Bayonnais Rudby
French Pro D2
21.04.22	Aviron Bayonnais - Vannes	22:17 ✺
14.04.22	Montauban - Aviron Bayonnais	23:33 ✺
08.04.22	Aviron Bayonnais - Bourg-en-Bresse	32:14 ✺
01.04.22	Mont-De-Marsan - Aviron Bayonnais	15:13 ✺
10.03.22	Aviron Bayonnais - Oyonnax Rugby	52:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
26.11.21	Aviron Bayonnais - Carcassonne	25:14
08.02.19	Aviron Bayonnais - Carcassonne	46:10
12.10.18	Carcassonne - Aviron Bayonnais	22:10
23.02.18	Aviron Bayonnais - Carcassonne	52:26
20.10.17	Carcassonne - Aviron Bayonnais	32:16
22.01.16	Aviron Bayonnais - Carcassonne	14:9
16.10.15	Carcassonne - Aviron Bayonnais	22:32

Upcoming Matches