Match Info

Date: 5 June 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Mont-De-Marsan		Aviron Bayonnais

	1	X	2
	2.5	21	1.53
	2.28	21	1.65
	2.35	21	1.6
	2.5	21	1.53
	2.34	25	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 (2.39)	21.8 ↓ (25)	1.6 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 44.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mont-De-Marsan
38.3%

Draw
4.2%

Aviron Bayonnais
57.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.2%

3.7%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

3.7%

56.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mont-De-Marsan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Aviron Bayonnais has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mont-De-Marsan than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aviron Bayonnais than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	10%	70%

Mont De Marsan - Aviron Bayonnais Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Mont-De-Marsan will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Bayonne will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayonne: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 21:24

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mont-De-Marsan won 3.

Recent matches Mont-De-Marsan is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bayonne is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bayonne will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Mont-De-Marsan won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 277-214.

Including matches at home between the teams Mont-De-Marsan won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 171-92.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mont-De-Marsan
French Pro D2
29.05.22	Mont-De-Marsan - Nevers	26:15 ✺
12.05.22	Provence Rugby - Mont-De-Marsan	26:13 ✺
06.05.22	Mont-De-Marsan - FC Grenoble	22:12 ✺
22.04.22	Colomiers - Mont-De-Marsan	27:23 ✺
15.04.22	Mont-De-Marsan - Béziers	34:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWLW
- Aviron Bayonnais Rudby
French Pro D2
29.05.22	Aviron Bayonnais - Oyonnax Rugby	32:20 ✺
12.05.22	Aviron Bayonnais - Rouen Normandie	53:13 ✺
05.05.22	Carcassonne - Aviron Bayonnais	33:28 ✺
21.04.22	Aviron Bayonnais - Vannes	22:17 ✺
14.04.22	Montauban - Aviron Bayonnais	23:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
01.04.22	Mont-De-Marsan - Aviron Bayonnais	15:13
05.11.21	Aviron Bayonnais - Mont-De-Marsan	14:33
14.03.19	Mont-De-Marsan - Aviron Bayonnais	17:13
26.08.18	Aviron Bayonnais - Mont-De-Marsan	28:28
25.03.18	Aviron Bayonnais - Mont-De-Marsan	18:15
26.11.17	Mont-De-Marsan - Aviron Bayonnais	68:15
22.05.16	Aviron Bayonnais - Mont-De-Marsan	23:17

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aviron Bayonnais Rudby
French Top 14
31.10.26	Bordeaux Bègles - Aviron Bayonnais	✺

Mont-De-Marsan - Aviron Bayonnais