Match Info

EUROPE: Challenge Cup - Round 2

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Cardiff Arms Park (Cardiff)


	Cardiff Rugby		Cheetahs

	1	X	2
	1.25	26	4
	1.25	26	4
	1.24	26	4.25
	1.24	27.86	4.45	Watch
	1.3	26	3.5
	1.21	23	4.54
	1.24	26	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↑ (1.2)	25.84 ↑ (24)	4.14 ↓ (5.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 50.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cardiff Rugby
74.1%

Draw
3.6%

Cheetahs
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.6%

3.9%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff Rugby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Cheetahs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Cardiff Rugby - Cheetahs Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Cheetahs will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:20

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Domachowski C.	1. Ferreira S.
2. Belcher L. (C)	2. van der Westhuizen L.
3. Davies-King W.	3. Coetzee A.
4. McNally J.	4. Wegner C.
5. Williams T.	5. Sekekete V. (C)
6. Botham J.	6. van der Merwe G.
7. Thomas D.	7. Mohoje O.
8. Faletau T.	8. Rudolph J.
9. Davies A.	9. De Haas R.
10. Sheedy C.	10. Wentzel E.
11. Bowen T.	11. Jasper C.
12. Thomas B.	12. Mgijima A.
13. Lee-Lo R.	13. Coetzee C.
14. Adams J.	14. Hartzenberg M.
15. Winnett C.	15. Annies M.
Substitutes
16. Hughes D.	16. Paulo V.
17. Southworth D.	17. van Wyk H.
18. Assiratti K.	18. Hunt R.
19. Davies S.	19. Uys P.
20. Mann A.	20. Olivier F.
21. Lawrence A.	21. Maartens D.
22. Mulder J.	22. Kruger R.
23. Jennings R.	23. Lourens G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 10)
17', Adams J. (Try),
31', De Haas R. (Try),
33', Wentzel E. (Conversion Goal),
36', Wentzel E. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (21 - 0)
46', Bowen T. (Try),
46', Sheedy C. (Conversion Goal),
56', Adams J. (Try),
57', Sheedy C. (Conversion Goal),
67', (Penalty Try),

Preview

Cardiff could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cardiff is certain favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 116:108 (average 23.2:21.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Cardiff won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 79:58 (average 26.3:19.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff Rugby
Challenge Cup Rugby
07.12.24	Lyon - Cardiff Rugby	37:26 ✺
United Rugby Championship
30.11.24	Cardiff Rugby - Newport Gwent Dragons	31:23 ✺
26.10.24	Cardiff Rugby - Ulster	21:19 ✺
19.10.24	Edinburgh - Cardiff Rugby	27:8 ✺
12.10.24	Cardiff Rugby - Llanelli Scarlets	19:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWLL
- Cheetahs Rugby
Challenge Cup Rugby
08.12.24	Cheetahs - Perpignan	20:20 ✺
Currie Cup
14.09.24	Lions - Cheetahs	43:34 ✺
07.09.24	Pumas - Cheetahs	14:41 ✺
30.08.24	Griquas - Cheetahs	44:31 ✺
24.08.24	Cheetahs - Lions	21:38 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
09.11.19	Cardiff Rugby - Cheetahs	30:17
27.10.18	Cheetahs - Cardiff Rugby	21:10
28.09.18	Cardiff Rugby - Cheetahs	24:21
07.04.18	Cheetahs - Cardiff Rugby	29:27
10.02.18	Cardiff Rugby - Cheetahs	25:20

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