Match Info

EUROPE: Challenge Cup - Round 1

Date: 7 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade de Gerland (Lyon)


	Lyon		Cardiff Rugby

	1	X	2
	1.25	26	4
	1.27	21	3.75
	1.27	26	3.9
	1.27	27.81	4.09
	1.3	26	3.5
	1.23	23	4.25
	1.27	26	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.33)	25.12 ↑ (24)	3.91 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 46.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lyon
72.8%

Draw
3.7%

Cardiff Rugby
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.6%

3.8%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Cardiff Rugby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Lyon - Cardiff Rugby Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Lyon will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:19

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kaabeche H.	1. Southworth D.
2. Charcosset Y.	2. Lloyd E.
3. Gomes Sa C.	3. Litterick R.
4. Geraci K.	4. Davies S.
5. Roussel A.	5. Williams T. (C)
6. Cretin D. (C)	6. Mann A.
7. Okuya M.	7. Thomas D.
8. Gouzou M.	8. Lawrence A.
9. Cassang C.	9. Bevan E.
10. Meliande M.	10. de Beer T.
11. Rattez V.	11. Hamer-Webb G.
12. Maraku J.	12. Emanuel S.
13. Parisien A.	13. Lee-Lo R.
14. Dumortier E.	14. Adams J.
15. Niniashvili D.	15. Beetham J.
Substitutes
16. Narmand B.	16. Hughes D.
17. Rey J.	17. Barratt R.
18. Ainsley J.	18. Davies-King W.
19. Botha A.	19. McNally J.
20. Shvangiradze B.	20. Young T.
21. Gonzalez E.	21. Mulder J.
22. Tchaptchet A.	22. Sheedy C.
23. Regard T.	23. Millard H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (17 - 14)
3', Adams J. (Try),
4', de Beer T. (Conversion Goal),
6', Dumortier E. (Try),
15', Southworth D. (Try),
16', de Beer T. (Conversion Goal),
24', Parisien A. (Try),
25', Meliande M. (Conversion Goal),
37', Dumortier E. (Try),
2nd Half (20 - 12)
47', Charcosset Y. (Try),
48', Meliande M. (Conversion Goal),
53', Bevan E. (Try),
54', Sheedy C. (Conversion Goal),
61', Hamer-Webb G. (Try),
62', Gonzalez E. (Try),
63', Meliande M. (Conversion Goal),
69', Meliande M. (Penalty Goal),
74', Gonzalez E. (Penalty Goal),

Preview

Lyon has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lyon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lyon is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Cardiff to win the game is with odds 3.92.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Lyon won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 72:113 (average 18:28.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Lyon won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 39:51 (average 19.5:25.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lyon OU
French Top 14
30.11.24	Section Paloise - Lyon	29:15 ✺
23.11.24	Lyon - Clermont	22:30 ✺
02.11.24	Toulon - Lyon	21:10 ✺
26.10.24	Lyon - Aviron Bayonnais	38:49 ✺
19.10.24	Perpignan - Lyon	29:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Cardiff Rugby
United Rugby Championship
30.11.24	Cardiff Rugby - Newport Gwent Dragons	31:23 ✺
26.10.24	Cardiff Rugby - Ulster	21:19 ✺
19.10.24	Edinburgh - Cardiff Rugby	27:8 ✺
12.10.24	Cardiff Rugby - Llanelli Scarlets	19:25 ✺
04.10.24	Cardiff Rugby - Glasgow Warriors	36:52 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

European Rugby Champions Cup
19.01.19	Cardiff Rugby - Lyon	33:14
14.10.18	Lyon - Cardiff Rugby	21:30
Challenge Cup Rugby
20.01.18	Lyon - Cardiff Rugby	18:21
13.10.17	Cardiff Rugby - Lyon	29:19

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