Match Info

EUROPE: European Rugby Champions Cup - Round 3

Date: 11 January 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Pierre-Fabre (Castres) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
Netherlands	21:00	Viaplay
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
United Kingdom	20:00	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
International	20:00	FloSports app


	Castres		Blue Bulls

	1	X	2
	1.22	26	4.33
	1.22	26	4.25
	1.23	25	4.35
	1.23	27.56	4.6
	1.22	26	4.33
	1.18	23	5.11	Watch
	1.23	25	4.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.92)	25.51 ↑ (20.67)	4.47 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 47.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castres
75.8%

Draw
3.6%

Blue Bulls
20.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.4%

4.5%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+27.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Castres's performance.

Blue Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-26.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Blue Bulls might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Castres - Blue Bulls Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Castres will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:25

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tichit A.	1. Tshakweni A.
2. Barlot G.	2. Wessels J.
3. Chilachava L.	3. Smith M.
4. Ducat G.	4. van Heerden J.
5. Vanverberghe F.	5. Manjezi S.
6. Babillot M. (C)	6. Xaba N.
7. Ardron T.	7. Gumede M.
8. Papalii A.	8. Carr N. (C)
9. Fernandez J.	9. van der Linde B.
10. Popelin P.	10. Chamberlain B.
11. Baget R.	11. Dyantyi A.
12. Goodhue J.	12. Smit C.
13. Botitu V.	13. Letebele K.
14. Palis G.	14. Novuka S.
15. Dumora J.	15. Immelman H.
Substitutes
16. Colonna P.	16. Van Zyl J.
17. Galisson L.	17. Smith D.
18. Corato N.	18. Lombard S.
19. Nakarawa L.	19. Slabbert D.
20. Meka S.	20. Beets C.
21. Arata S.	21. Johannes K.
22. Chabouni T.	22. van der Walt J.
23. Seguret A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (10 - 7)
7', Wessels J. (Try),
8', Chamberlain B. (Conversion Goal),
18', Palis G. (Try),
19', Fernandez J. (Conversion Goal),
32', Fernandez J. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (39 - 3)
46', Fernandez J. (Penalty Goal),
54', van der Walt J. (Penalty Goal),
58', Fernandez J. (Penalty Goal),
64', Baget R. (Try),
65', Fernandez J. (Conversion Goal),
71', Dumora J. (Try),
72', Popelin P. (Conversion Goal),
74', Baget R. (Try),
76', Goodhue J. (Try),
77', Popelin P. (Conversion Goal),
79', Baget R. (Try),
80', Popelin P. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Recent matches Castres is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Castres could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Castres is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Castres Olympique
French Top 14
04.01.25	Castres - Section Paloise	24:19 ✺
28.12.24	Aviron Bayonnais - Castres	33:12 ✺
21.12.24	Castres - Bordeaux Bègles	3:13 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
13.12.24	Castres - Munster	16:14 ✺
07.12.24	Northampton Saints - Castres	38:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLWL
- Blue Bulls Rugby
United Rugby Championship
21.12.24	Sharks - Blue Bulls	20:17 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
14.12.24	Blue Bulls - Northampton Saints	21:30 ✺
07.12.24	Saracens - Blue Bulls	27:5 ✺
United Rugby Championship
30.11.24	Connacht - Blue Bulls	14:28 ✺
25.10.24	Benetton Treviso - Blue Bulls	15:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLWW

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