Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 4

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday

Location: Dexcom Stadium (Galway)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ireland	TG4 app Ireland, TG4 Ireland
United-kingdom	FloSports app, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, URC


	Connacht		Blue Bulls

	1	X	2
	1.95	17	1.95
	1.9	24	1.92
	1.91	50	1.83
	2	20	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.84)	27.75 ↑ (20)	1.9 ↑ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 47.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Connacht
47.8%

Draw
3.3%

Blue Bulls
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

4.6%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Connacht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Connacht's performance.

Blue Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Blue Bulls might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Connacht - Blue Bulls Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Connacht will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Connacht (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Connacht (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Connacht (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:26

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (7 - 12)
2nd Half (20 - 16)

Preview

In recent matches, Blue Bulls has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Blue Bulls may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Connacht won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 89:116. (average 22.3:29).

Including home matches between the teams, Connacht won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 48:35. (average 24:17.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Connacht Rugby
United Rugby Championship
11.10.25	Cardiff Rugby - Connacht	14:8 ✺
27.09.25	Connacht - Benetton Treviso	26:15 ✺
17.05.25	Zebre - Connacht	12:22 ✺
10.05.25	Connacht - Edinburgh	21:31 ✺
26.04.25	Lions - Connacht	26:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWLL
- Blue Bulls Rugby
United Rugby Championship
11.10.25	Ulster - Blue Bulls	28:7 ✺
04.10.25	Blue Bulls - Leinster	39:31 ✺
27.09.25	Blue Bulls - Ospreys	53:40 ✺
Currie Cup
06.09.25	Blue Bulls - Cheetahs	35:31 ✺
30.08.25	Lions - Blue Bulls	44:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
30.11.24	Connacht - Blue Bulls	14:28
25.11.23	Blue Bulls - Connacht	53:27
30.09.22	Blue Bulls - Connacht	28:14
01.10.21	Connacht - Blue Bulls	34:7

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