Match Info

Top 14 - Round 4

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Marcel-Michelin (Clermont-Ferrand)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	CANAL+ France
United-kingdom	FloSports app
World	TOP 14 Rugby TV


	Clermont		Castres

	1	X	2
	1.1	34	7
	1.1	29	6.6
	1.12	30.84	6.97	Watch
	1.1	26	6.2
	1.08	34	7.5
	1.1	35	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.1 (1.1)	31.47 ↑ (31.44)	6.81 ↓ (7.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-16)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Clermont
83.6%

Draw
2.9%

Castres
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

84.9%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Castres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Clermont - Castres Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Clermont will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

AH +16.5 - Castres (1.85) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 39:23

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Akhaladze G.	1. Galisson L.
2. Massa B.	2. Zarantonello L.
3. Montagne R.	3. Chilachava L.
4. Lanen T.	4. Ducat G.
5. Ceyte T.	5. Staniforth T.
6. Tixeront K.	6. Cope B.
7. Hemery A.	7. Meka S.
8. Noah K.	8. Ramototabua V.
9. Jauneau B. (C)	9. Fernandez J.
10. Plummer H.	10. Le Brun L. (C)
11. Raka A.	11. Karawalevu V.
12. Darricarrere L.	12. Cocagi A.
13. Loaloa A.	13. Botitu V.
14. Delguy B.	14. Ambadiang C.
15. Hamdaoui K.	15. Palis G.
Substitutes
16. Narisia P.	16. Durand T.
17. Frisach M.	17. Walcker Q.
18. Swain D.	18. Gabriel F.
19. Chalus-Cercy A.	19. Babillot M.
20. Zamora L.	20. Papalii A.
21. Bouraux J.	21. Vidal T.
22. Frier T.	22. Gontineac T.
23. Dzmanashvili G.	23. Burin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (17 - 0)
7', Delguy B. (Try),
7', Plummer H. (Conversion Goal),
12', Raka A. (Try),
39', Akhaladze G. (Try),
2nd Half (3 - 6)
51', Fernandez J. (Penalty Goal),
55', Fernandez J. (Penalty Goal),
72', Plummer H. (Penalty Goal),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Clermont won 3.

The betting markets point to Clermont as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Clermont has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 632:431 (averaging 31.6:21.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Clermont against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 412:201 goals (averaging 41.2:20.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
8	Clermont	5	2	0	3	118:146	10
12	Castres Olympique	5	2	0	3	100:118	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASM Clermont Auvergne
French Top 14
19.09.26	Aviron Bayonnais - Clermont	46:24 ✺
12.09.26	Clermont - Stade Français	25:16 ✺
05.09.26	Lyon - Clermont	40:36 ✺
06.06.26	Bordeaux Bègles - Clermont	31:34 ✺
31.05.26	Clermont - Racing Métro	13:41 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 LWLWL
- Castres Olympique
French Top 14
19.09.26	Castres - Toulon	29:27 ✺
12.09.26	Perpignan - Castres	43:29 ✺
05.09.26	Castres - Vannes	29:20 ✺
06.06.26	Castres - Toulon	38:21 ✺
30.05.26	Perpignan - Castres	29:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
31.01.26	Castres - Clermont	28:23
25.10.25	Clermont - Castres	63:14
24.05.25	Castres - Clermont	34:29
30.11.24	Clermont - Castres	54:10
18.05.24	Clermont - Castres	29:20
27.01.24	Castres - Clermont	20:23
04.02.23	Clermont - Castres	41:26

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