Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN RUGBY CHAMPIONS CUP - ROUND 1

Date: 8 December 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports, beIN Sports Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Connacht		Bordeaux Bègles

	1	X	2
	1.57	21	2.5
	1.62	21	2.25
	1.62	21	2.38
	1.66	25	2.32	Watch
	1.6	21	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.54)	21.8 ↑ (20.17)	2.37 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 43.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Connacht
57%

Draw
4.2%

Bordeaux Bègles
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

4.6%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

4.4%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Connacht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Bordeaux Bègles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Connacht than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bordeaux Bègles than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Connacht - Bordeaux Bègles Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Connacht will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Bordeaux Bègles will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:21

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Connacht will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Connacht to win the game is with odds 1.61.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Connacht won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 55-37.

Including matches at home between the teams Connacht won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 22-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Connacht Rugby
United Rugby Championship
02.12.23	Connacht - Leinster	22:24 ✺
25.11.23	Blue Bulls - Connacht	53:27 ✺
18.11.23	Sharks - Connacht	12:13 ✺
11.11.23	Edinburgh - Connacht	25:22 ✺
04.11.23	Connacht - Ulster	22:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLWLW
- Union Bordeaux Bègles
French Top 14
02.12.23	Oyonnax Rugby - Bordeaux Bègles	23:29 ✺
25.11.23	Bordeaux Bègles - Perpignan	46:22 ✺
19.11.23	La Rochelle - Bordeaux Bègles	25:21 ✺
11.11.23	Section Paloise - Bordeaux Bègles	20:11 ✺
04.11.23	Bordeaux Bègles - Montpellier	23:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Challenge Cup Rugby
19.01.19	Bordeaux Bègles - Connacht	27:33
13.10.18	Connacht - Bordeaux Bègles	22:10

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