Match Info

Date: 14 December 2019, Saturday


	Connacht		Gloucester

	1	X	2
	1.4	21	3.1
	1.53	21	2.5
	1.53	21	2.65
	1.44	17.73	2.73
	1.44	21	2.8
	1.5	20.5	2.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.64)	20.37 ↓ (20.76)	2.78 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 41.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Connacht
62.4%

Draw
4.5%

Gloucester
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

4.4%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Connacht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Connacht's performance.

Gloucester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gloucester might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16%	8%	76%

Connacht - Gloucester Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Connacht will win (votes: 4 - 16%). Gloucester will win (votes: 19 - 76%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gloucester: 59.3% – 92.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:19

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Connacht Rugby
European Rugby Champions Cup
08.12.19	Gloucester - Connacht	26:17 ✺
United Rugby Championship
30.11.19	Connacht - Southern Kings	24:12 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
23.11.19	Toulouse - Connacht	32:17 ✺
17.11.19	Connacht - Montpellier	23:20 ✺
United Rugby Championship
08.11.19	Connacht - Leinster	11:42 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLWL
- Gloucester Rugby
European Rugby Champions Cup
08.12.19	Gloucester - Connacht	26:17 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
01.12.19	Harlequins - Gloucester	23:19 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
24.11.19	Montpellier - Gloucester	30:27 ✺
15.11.19	Gloucester - Toulouse	20:25 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
09.11.19	Gloucester - Saracens	12:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

European Rugby Champions Cup
08.12.19	Gloucester - Connacht	26:17
Challenge Cup Rugby
31.03.18	Connacht - Gloucester	28:33
European Rugby Champions Cup
24.05.15	Gloucester - Connacht	40:32 OT
Challenge Cup Rugby
03.04.15	Gloucester - Connacht	14:7

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