The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crusaders 84.7%
Draw 2.7%
Waratahs 12.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
80.1%
3.2%
16.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crusaders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
Waratahs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Crusaders - Waratahs Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Crusaders will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 41:22
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Brewis F.
1. Kailea I.
2. Taylor C.
2. Faingaa F.
3. Newell F.
3. Amone S.
4. Shalfoon A.
4. Philip M. (C)
5. Cahill T.
5. Amatosero M.
6. Gardiner D.
6. Scott-Young A.
7. Faingaanuku L.
7. Gamble C.
8. Lio-Willie C.
8. Samu P.
9. Hotham N.
9. Gordon J.
10. Kemara T.
10. Debreczeni J.
11. Springer M.
11. Harvey S.
12. Havili D. (C)
12. Creighton L.
13. Ennor B.
13. Walton J.
14. Reece S.
14. Kellaway A.
15. McNicholl J.
15. Jorgensen M.
Substitutes
16. Bell G.
16. Moananu I.
17. Bower G.
17. Lambert T.
18. Calder S.
18. Botha D.
19. Hannah J.
19. Blyth A.
20. Lee J.
20. Halaholo C.
21. Preston K.
21. Adamson J.
22. Reihana R.
22. Wilson T.
23. McLeod D.
23. Reilly T.
Coaches
. Penney R.
. McKellar D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (14 - 13)
4', Harvey S. (Penalty Goal),
9', Harvey S. (Penalty Goal),
12', McLeod D. (Try),
12', Kemara T. (Conversion Goal),
30', Amatosero M. 🟨,
35', Harvey S. (Try),
36', Harvey S. (Conversion Goal),
37', Amone S. ↓, Botha D. ↑,
40', Taylor C. (Try),
40+1', Kemara T. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (21 - 7)
41', Amatosero M. ↓, Blyth A. ↑,
48', Faingaa F. ↓, Moananu I. ↑,
48', Kailea I. ↓, Lambert T. ↑,
49', Moananu I. 🟨,
50', Faingaanuku L. (Try),
50', Kemara T. (Conversion Goal),
55', Gamble C. ↓, Adamson J. ↑,
55', Scott-Young A. ↓, Halaholo C. ↑,
56', McLeod D. (Try),
57', Kemara T. (Conversion Goal),
57', Gordon J. ↓, Wilson T. ↑,
57', Jorgensen M. ↓, Reilly T. ↑,
58', Taylor C. ↓, Bell G. ↑,
58', Cahill T. ↓, Hannah J. ↑,
58', Brewis F. ↓, Bower G. ↑,
59', Havili D. 🟨,
65', Wilson T. (Try),
66', Harvey S. (Conversion Goal),
67', Kemara T. ↓, Reihana R. ↑,
67', Hotham N. ↓, Preston K. ↑,
67', Newell F. ↓, Calder S. ↑,
67', Lio-Willie C. ↓, Lee J. ↑,
68', Springer M. (Try),
69', Reihana R. (Conversion Goal),
73', Reilly T. ↓, Jorgensen M. ↑,
74', Ennor B. ↓, Kunawave M. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crusaders won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Crusaders may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Crusaders is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Crusaders won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 462:376. (average 30.8:25.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Crusaders won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 192:141. (average 32:23.5).