Match Info

Super Rugby - Round 6

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Sydney Football Stadium (Sydney)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
United-kingdom	Sky Go, Sky Sports+


	Waratahs		Blues

	1	X	2
	3.1	21	1.4
	2.9	23	1.42
	3.02	22.52	1.43
	3	23	1.4
	3.03	20	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.95)	21.9 ↑ (20.31)	1.41 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Waratahs
30.6%

Draw
4.2%

Blues
65.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.3%

4.5%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Waratahs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Blues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Waratahs - Blues Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:32

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lambert T.	1. Tu'ungafasi O.
2. Dobbins E.	2. Slater B.
3. Botha D.	3. Matenga S.
4. Philip M. (C)	4. Beehre J.
5. Amatosero M.	5. Darry S.
6. Halaholo C.	6. Segner A.
7. Adamson J.	7. Papalii D. (C)
8. Samu P.	8. Wrampling-Alec M.
9. Gordon J.	9. Christie F.
10. Debreczeni J.	10. Barrett B.
11. Jorgensen M.	11. Clarke C.
12. Walton J.	12. Ahki P.
13. Reilly T.	13. Lam A.
14. Potter H.	14. Vai C.
15. Harvey S.	15. Sullivan Z.
Substitutes
16. Moananu I.	16. Mullan J.
17. Kailea I.	17. Tupaea M.
18. Amone S.	18. Renata M.
19. Blyth A.	19. Clarke C.
20. Talataina L.	20. Barnes T.
21. Wilson T.	21. Funaki T.
22. Creighton L.	22. Taele X.
23. Poolman G.	23. Spencer P.
Coaches
. McKellar D.	. Cotter V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (17 - 8)
2', Christie F. (Try),
3', Barrett B. (Missed Conversion),
11', Wrampling-Alec M. 🟨,
23', Harvey S. (Penalty Goal),
29', Potter H. ↓, Poolman G. ↑,
30', Debreczeni J. (Try),
31', Harvey S. (Conversion Goal),
38', Barrett B. (Penalty Goal),
40', Lambert T. (Try),
40+1', Harvey S. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (3 - 27)
41', Papalii D. ↓, Barnes T. ↑,
41', Tu'ungafasi O. ↓, Tupaea M. ↑,
41', Matenga S. ↓, Renata M. ↑,
43', Harvey S. (Penalty Goal),
43', Christie F. ↓, Funaki T. ↑,
47', Halaholo C. ↓, Talataina L. ↑,
50', Vai C. (Try),
51', Sullivan Z. ↓, Spencer P. ↑,
52', Amatosero M. ↓, Blyth A. ↑,
56', Lam A. (Try),
57', Barrett B. (Conversion Goal),
58', Botha D. ↓, Amone S. ↑,
58', Lambert T. ↓, Kailea I. ↑,
58', Dobbins E. ↓, Moananu I. ↑,
63', Barrett B. (Penalty Goal),
66', Gordon J. ↓, Wilson T. ↑,
66', Wrampling-Alec M. ↓, Clarke C. ↑,
66', Ahki P. ↓, Taele X. ↑,
70', Adamson J. ↓, Scott-Young A. ↑,
74', Lam A. (Try),
75', Barrett B. (Conversion Goal),
75', Slater B. ↓, Mullan J. ↑,
77', Walton J. ↓, Poolman G. ↑,
79', Kailea I. ↓, Lambert T. ↑,
80+1', Barnes T. (Try),
80+2', Barrett B. (Missed Conversion),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waratahs won 0.

Blues's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Blues may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Blues is a strong favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Waratahs won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 276:443. (average 19.7:31.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Waratahs won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 146:166. (average 20.9:23.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Waratahs Rugby
Super Rugby
14.03.26	Reds - Waratahs	26:17 ✺
06.03.26	Waratahs - Hurricanes	19:59 ✺
20.02.26	Waratahs - Fijian Drua	36:13 ✺
13.02.26	Waratahs - Reds	36:12 ✺
Super Rugby AUS
05.10.25	Western Force - Waratahs	26:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LLWWW
- Blues Rugby
Super Rugby
14.03.26	Blues - Moana Pasifika	43:7 ✺
07.03.26	Blues - Crusaders	29:13 ✺
28.02.26	Brumbies - Blues	30:27 ✺
21.02.26	Western Force - Blues	32:42 ✺
14.02.26	Blues - Chiefs	15:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Super Rugby
31.05.25	Blues - Waratahs	46:6
16.03.24	Waratahs - Blues	10:12
09.06.23	Blues - Waratahs	41:12
22.04.23	Blues - Waratahs	55:21
28.05.22	Waratahs - Blues	17:20
22.05.21	Blues - Waratahs	48:21
08.02.20	Waratahs - Blues	12:32

Waratahs - Blues: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide