Match Info
Super Rugby - Round 6Date: 21 March 2026, SaturdayLocation: North Harbour Stadium (Auckland)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Australia | Stan Sport |
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 |
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Moana Pasifika |
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Crusaders |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
12 |
51 |
1.02 |
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 |
10 |
50 |
1.03 |
|
 |
16.63 |
29.65 |
1.01 |
Watch |
 |
11 |
41 |
1.03 |
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 |
15 |
50 |
1.02 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
12.93 ↓ (18.44) |
44.33 ↑ (26.33) |
1.02 ↑ (1.02) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 65.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-23)
- The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Moana Pasifika 7.2% | Draw 2.1% | Crusaders 90.7% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Moana Pasifika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Crusaders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Moana Pasifika - Crusaders Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 66.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:45 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1. Tuipulotu T.
| 1. Brewis F.
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2. Sanerivi M.
| 2. Bell G.
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3. Moli S.
| 3. Newell F.
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4. Savage T.
| 4. Cahill T.
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5. Craig A.
| 5. Hannah J.
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6. Faiilagi M.
| 6. Blackadder E.
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7. Jones N.
| 7. Lee J.
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8. Tupou Ta'eiloa S.
| 8. Lio-Willie C.
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9. Lam J.
| 9. Hotham N.
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10. Pellegrini P.
| 10. Grant C.
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11. Vaihu G.
| 11. Reece S.
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12. Savea J.
| 12. McLeod D.
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13. Lalomilo L.
| 13. Ennor B.
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14. Latu T.
| 14. Fihaki C.
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15. Havili W.
| 15. Jordan W.
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| Substitutes |
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16. Harada M.
| 16. Letiu M.
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17. Pole A.
| 17. Bower G.
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18. Apoua C.
| 18. Calder S.
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19. Poloniati S.
| 19. Shalfoon A.
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20. Ropeti D.
| 20. Saifoloi X.
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21. Nginingini S.
| 21. Preston K.
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22. Garden-Bachop J.
| 22. Faingaanuku L.
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23. Ofa T.
| 23. MacDonald K.
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| Coaches |
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. Umaga T.
| . Penney R.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (14 - 17)
- 2', Savea J. ↓, Ofa T. ↑,
- 3', Ennor B. (Try),
- 4', Grant C. (Missed Conversion),
- 16', Reece S. (Try),
- 17', Grant C. (Conversion Goal),
- 20', Ofa T. (Try),
- 21', Pellegrini P. (Conversion Goal),
- 28', Lam J. (Try),
- 29', Pellegrini P. (Conversion Goal),
- 35', Fihaki C. (Try),
- 36', Grant C. (Missed Conversion),
- 40', Lalomilo L. ↓, Garden-Bachop J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (7 - 33)
- 41', Lio-Willie C. ↓, Saifoloi X. ↑,
- 41', Tuipulotu T. ↓, Pole A. ↑,
- 46', Brewis F. ↓, Bower G. ↑,
- 46', Ennor B. ↓, Faingaanuku L. ↑,
- 49', Faingaanuku L. (Try),
- 50', Fihaki C. (Conversion Goal),
- 51', Tupou Ta'eiloa S. ↓, Ropeti D. ↑,
- 52', Bell G. (Try),
- 53', Fihaki C. (Conversion Goal),
- 54', Sanerivi M. ↓, Harada M. ↑,
- 54', Hotham N. ↓, Preston K. ↑,
- 54', Moli S. ↓, Apoua C. ↑,
- 57', Bell G. (Try),
- 58', Fihaki C. (Conversion Goal),
- 59', Newell F. ↓, Calder S. ↑,
- 59', Reece S. ↓, MacDonald K. ↑,
- 59', Tupou Ta'eiloa S. ↓, Poloniati S. ↑,
- 60', MacDonald K. (Try),
- 61', Fihaki C. (Conversion Goal),
- 65', Bell G. ↓, Letiu M. ↑,
- 65', Blackadder E. ↓, Shalfoon A. ↑,
- 72', Fihaki C. (Try),
- 73', Fihaki C. (Missed Conversion),
- 78', Nginingini S. (Try),
- 79', Pellegrini P. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).Moana Pasifika is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).In recent matches, Crusaders has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Moana Pasifika may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Moana Pasifika has had a series of away games. In this match, Crusaders is the undisputed favorite.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moana Pasifika won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 95:184. (average 19:36.8).Including home matches between the teams, Moana Pasifika won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:74. (average 9.5:37).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Super Rugby | | | 29.03.25 | Crusaders - Moana Pasifika | 29:45 | | 31.05.24 | Crusaders - Moana Pasifika | 43:10 | | 19.05.23 | Moana Pasifika - Crusaders | 7:41 | | 07.04.23 | Crusaders - Moana Pasifika | 38:21 | | 04.03.22 | Moana Pasifika - Crusaders | 12:33 |
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