The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Exeter Chiefs 63.8%
Draw 4.1%
Leicester Tigers 32.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.5%
4.5%
29.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.1%
4.7%
30.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Exeter Chiefs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Leicester Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter Chiefs than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leicester Tigers than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.5%
0%
12.5%
Exeter Chiefs - Leicester Tigers Predictions
Users Predictions:
Exeter Chiefs will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Exeter Chiefs will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:23
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sio S.
1. Smith N.
2. Dweba J.
2. Blamire J.
3. Tchumbadze B.
3. Heyes J.
4. Jenkins D.
4. Henderson C.
5. Zambonin A.
5. Chessum O. (C)
6. Hooper T.
6. Moro J.
7. Roots E.
7. Reffell T.
8. Fisilau G.
8. Cracknell O.
9. Varney S.
9. Whiteley T.
10. Skinner H.
10. Searle B.
11. Ridl C.
11. Hassell-Collins O.
12. Rigg W.
12. Kata S.
13. Slade H.
13. Perese I.
14. Feyi-Waboso I.
14. Radwan A.
15. Woodburn O.
15. Steward F.
Substitutes
16. Yeandle J.
16. Theobald-Thomas F.
17. Goodrick-Clarke W.
17. Haffar T.
18. Roots J.
18. Hurd W.
19. Tuima R.
19. Thompson J.
20. James K.
20. van Poortvliet J.
21. Chapman C.
21. Bailey O.
22. Haydon-Wood W.
22. Hamer-Webb G.
23. John D.
23. Williams S.
Coaches
. Baxter R.
. Parling G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (14 - 7)
9', Fisilau G. (Try),
10', Slade H. (Conversion Goal),
24', Ridl C. (Try),
25', Slade H. (Conversion Goal),
32', Whiteley T. ↓, van Poortvliet J. ↑,
32', Kata S. ↓, Bailey O. ↑,
34', Henderson C. (Try),
35', Searle B. (Conversion Goal),
39', Reffell T. ↓, Williams S. ↑,
2nd Half (10 - 3)
50', Slade H. (Penalty Goal),
50', Williams S. 🟨,
50', Heyes J. ↓, Hurd W. ↑,
50', Cracknell O. ↓, Thompson J. ↑,
58', Dweba J. ↓, Yeandle J. ↑,
58', Sio S. ↓, Goodrick-Clarke W. ↑,
58', Hooper T. ↓, James K. ↑,
61', Perese I. ↓, Hamer-Webb G. ↑,
61', Searle B. 🟨,
63', Smith N. ↓, Haffar T. ↑,
69', Zambonin A. ↓, Tuima R. ↑,
69', Tchumbadze B. ↓, Roots J. ↑,
71', Varney S. (Try),
72', Slade H. (Conversion Goal),
72', Blamire J. ↓, Theobald-Thomas F. ↑,
72', Rigg W. ↓, Haydon-Wood W. ↑,
75', Tuima R. 🟨,
76', Searle B. (Penalty Goal),
Preview
This time weโll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership Rugby (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 1.
Exeter is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Leicester Tigers has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Exeter may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Exeter is considered a favorite.
We predict that Exeter will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 517:432. (average 25.9:21.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Exeter won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 270:151. (average 27:15.1).
Argentina
Asia
Australia
Brazil
Chile
Colombia
Czech-republic
Malta
New-zealand
Peru
Slovakia
United-kingdom
Uruguay
Venezuela
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Sio S. 
Smith N. 
Dweba J. 
Blamire J. 
Tchumbadze B. 
Henderson C. 
Zambonin A. 
Hooper T. 
Moro J. 
Kata S. 
Roots J. 
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