Match Info

Premiership Rugby - Round 6

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Salford Community Stadium (Salford) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Woodthorpe A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	06:45	Stan Sport
United Kingdom	19:45	Discovery+, TNT Sports 5


	Sale Sharks		Exeter Chiefs

	1	X	2
	1.36	21	3.25
	1.4	23	3
	1.31	22.79	3.72	Watch
	1.38	23	3.21	Watch
	1.4	21	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.31)	22.16 ↓ (22.79)	3.26 ↓ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 47.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sale Sharks
67.5%

Draw
4.2%

Exeter Chiefs
28.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70.9%

4.1%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

3.7%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sale Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Exeter Chiefs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sale Sharks than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter Chiefs than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sale Sharks - Exeter Chiefs Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Sale Sharks will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:21

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McIntyre S.	1. Goodrick-Clarke W.
2. Cowan-Dickie L.	2. Dweba J.
3. Opoku-Fordjour A.	3. Iosefa-Scott J.
4. van Rhyn E.	4. Jenkins D.
5. Bamber B.	5. Zambonin A.
6. Vermeulen J.	6. Hooper T.
7. Curry T.	7. Roots E.
8. du Preez D.	8. Fisilau G.
9. Warr G.	9. Chapman C.
10. Ford G.	10. Skinner H.
11. Wills A.	11. Woodburn O.
12. Maasi-White R.	12. Ikitau L.
13. du Preez R.	13. Slade H.
14. O'Flaherty T.	14. Feyi-Waboso I.
15. James L.	15. Hodge J.
Substitutes
16. Jibulu N.	16. Yeandle J.
17. Onasanya T.	17. Sio S.
18. Harper J.	18. Tchumbadze B.
19. Burrow T.	19. Pearson L.
20. Andrews H.	20. James K.
21. Quirke R.	21. Cairns T.
22. Louw M.	22. Haydon-Wood W.
23. Grace R.	23. Hammersley B.
Coaches
. Sanderson A.	. Baxter R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (19 - 6)
4', Curry T. 🟨,
5', Slade H. (Penalty Goal),
11', Hooper T. 🟨,
11', Ford G. (Penalty Goal),
11', Opoku-Fordjour A. ↓, Harper J. ↑,
14', Ford G. (Penalty Goal),
16', Slade H. (Penalty Goal),
18', Ford G. (Penalty Goal),
24', James L. (Try),
25', Ford G. (Conversion Goal),
28', Slade H. (Missed Penalty),
38', Iosefa-Scott J. ↓, Tchumbadze B. ↑,
38', Ford G. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (7 - 21)
41', Hodge J. ↓, Hammersley B. ↑,
46', Wills A. (Try),
47', Ford G. (Conversion Goal),
50', Goodrick-Clarke W. ↓, Sio S. ↑,
50', Dweba J. ↓, Yeandle J. ↑,
54', Yeandle J. (Try),
55', Slade H. (Conversion Goal),
55', Vermeulen J. ↓, Jibulu N. ↑,
61', Woodburn O. (Try),
61', Slade H. (Conversion Goal),
61', Ford G. ↓, Louw M. ↑,
64', du Preez D. ↓, Burrow T. ↑,
64', Warr G. ↓, Quirke R. ↑,
69', Sio S. (Try),
70', Slade H. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership Rugby (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sale Sharks won 4.

Recent form of Sale Sharks has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Exeter has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Sale Sharks is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sale Sharks won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 407:514. (average 20.4:25.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Sale Sharks won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 227:157. (average 25.2:17.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Sale Sharks - the odds 1.31 are the expected chance of winning is 70.94%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sale Sharks
English Premiership Rugby Cup
22.11.25	Bath - Sale Sharks	20:0 ✺
14.11.25	Sale Sharks - Exeter Chiefs	34:3 ✺
02.11.25	Sale Sharks - Gloucester	28:31 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
25.10.25	Leicester Tigers - Sale Sharks	36:35 ✺
18.10.25	Saracens - Sale Sharks	65:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWLLL
- Exeter Chiefs
English Premiership Rugby Cup
22.11.25	Exeter Chiefs - Bristol Rugby	22:17 ✺
14.11.25	Sale Sharks - Exeter Chiefs	34:3 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
25.10.25	Exeter Chiefs - Gloucester	39:12 ✺
19.10.25	Exeter Chiefs - Harlequins	38:0 ✺
11.10.25	Bristol Rugby - Exeter Chiefs	18:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Premiership Rugby Cup
14.11.25	Sale Sharks - Exeter Chiefs	34:3
English Premiership Rugby
31.05.25	Exeter Chiefs - Sale Sharks	26:30
English Premiership Rugby Cup
01.03.25	Exeter Chiefs - Sale Sharks	50:14
English Premiership Rugby
21.12.24	Sale Sharks - Exeter Chiefs	28:10
31.03.24	Sale Sharks - Exeter Chiefs	41:5
28.10.23	Exeter Chiefs - Sale Sharks	43:0
26.02.23	Exeter Chiefs - Sale Sharks	24:22

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