Match Info

European Rugby Champions Cup - Round 2

Date: 12 December 2025, Friday

Location: Welford Road (Leicester)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Rugby
France	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport Rugby
Portugal	Sport TV6
South-africa	SuperSport Rugby
United-kingdom	FloRugby.com, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby


	Leicester Tigers		Leinster

	1	X	2
	4.5	34	1.2
	4.2	26	1.23
	4.99	29.48	1.19	Watch
	4.5	26	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.55 ↑ (4.05)	28.87 ↑ (22.98)	1.21 ↓ (1.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 50.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leicester Tigers
20.3%

Draw
3.2%

Leinster
76.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

73.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leicester Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Leinster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Leicester Tigers - Leinster Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:29

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Smith N.	1. McCarthy P.
2. Blamire J.	2. Kelleher R.
3. Heyes J.	3. Furlong T.
4. Henderson C.	4. McCarthy J.
5. Wells H.	5. Ryan J.
6. Thompson J.	6. Conan J.
7. Reffell T.	7. van der Flier J.
8. Moro J.	8. Sweetman-Doris C.
9. Whiteley T.	9. Gibson-Park J.
10. Searle B.	10. Byrne H.
11. Hassell-Collins O.	11. Lowe J.
12. Kata S.	12. Henshaw R.
13. Wand W.	13. Ioane R.
14. Radwan A.	14. O'Brien T.
15. Steward F.	15. O'Brien J.
Substitutes
16. Theobald-Thomas F.	16. Sheehan D.
17. van der Flier A.	17. Boyle J.
18. Hurd W.	18. Clarkson T.
19. Manz T.	19. Mangan D.
20. Williams S.	20. Deegan M.
21. Allan O.	21. McGrath L.
22. Bailey O.	22. Prendergast S.
23. Woodward J.	23. Frawley C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (15 - 6)
15', Byrne H. (Penalty Goal),
20', Searle B. (Penalty Goal),
21', Radwan A. (Try),
22', Searle B. (Conversion Goal),
32', Byrne H. (Penalty Goal),
40', Hassell-Collins O. (Try),
2nd Half (0 - 17)
50', Gibson-Park J. (Try),
51', Byrne H. (Conversion Goal),
61', Byrne H. (Penalty Goal),
72', Sheehan D. (Try),
73', Prendergast S. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Leicester Tigers is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Leinster is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Leicester Tigers won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 70:141. (average 17.5:35.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Leicester Tigers won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:50. (average 12:25).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leicester Tigers
European Rugby Champions Cup
06.12.25	La Rochelle - Leicester Tigers	39:20 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
28.11.25	Newcastle Red Bulls - Leicester Tigers	17:39 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
21.11.25	Leicester Tigers - Northampton Saints	34:22 ✺
31.10.25	Newcastle Red Bulls - Leicester Tigers	8:10 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
25.10.25	Leicester Tigers - Sale Sharks	36:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWWW
- Leinster Rugby
European Rugby Champions Cup
06.12.25	Leinster - Harlequins	52:21 ✺
United Rugby Championship
28.11.25	Newport Gwent Dragons - Leinster	10:24 ✺
25.10.25	Leinster - Zebre	50:26 ✺
18.10.25	Leinster - Munster	14:31 ✺
11.10.25	Leinster - Sharks	31:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

European Rugby Champions Cup
06.04.24	Leinster - Leicester Tigers	36:22
20.01.24	Leicester Tigers - Leinster	10:27
07.04.23	Leinster - Leicester Tigers	55:24
07.05.22	Leicester Tigers - Leinster	14:23

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