Match Info

Super Rugby - Round 8

Date: 4 April 2025, Friday

Location: HFC Bank Stadium (Suva)

Referee: O'Keeffe B. (Nzl)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Rugby
Argentina	Disney+
Australia	Stan Sport
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	Sky Sport 1
Nigeria	SuperSport Rugby
Peru	Disney+
South-africa	SuperSport Rugby
United-kingdom	FloSports app, Sky Sports Action
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Fijian Drua		Crusaders

	1	X	2
	2.38	21	1.62
	2.37	26	1.57
	2.46	25	1.6
	2.5	22.86	1.58
	2.38	26	1.57
	2.38	23	1.62	Watch
	2.46	25	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.66)	24.12 ↓ (30.5)	1.59 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fijian Drua
38.2%

Draw
3.8%

Crusaders
58%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

3.1%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fijian Drua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Crusaders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fijian Drua than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crusaders than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Fijian Drua - Crusaders Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Crusaders will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:33

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hetet H.	1. Bower G.
2. Ikanivere T.	2. Taylor C.
3. Doge M.	3. Calder S.
4. Vocevoce M.	4. Cahill T.
5. Nasilasila I.	5. Shalfoon A.
6. Tamani J.	6. Kellow C.
7. Tuwai I.	7. Christie T.
8. Canakaivata E.	8. Lio-Willie C.
9. Lomani F.	9. Hotham N.
10. Armstrong-Ravula I.	10. Kemara T.
11. Loganimasi P.	11. Springer M.
12. Tabuavou I.	12. McLeod D.
13. Masi I.	13. Reece S.
14. Ravutaumada S.	14. Fihaki C.
15. Karawalevu V.	15. Jordan W.
Substitutes
16. Togiatama Z.	16. Moananu I.
17. Tuqiri E.	17. Sykes-Martin K.
18. Tawake S.	18. Newell F.
19. Rotuisolia R. L.	19. Strange Q.
20. Miramira V.	20. Blackadder E.
21. Waqa E.	21. Drummond M.
22. Kuruvoli S.	22. O'Connor J.
23. Rabitu I.	23. Aumua L.
Coaches
. Jackson G.	. Penney R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 17)
4', Hotham N. (Try),
5', Kemara T. (Conversion Goal),
18', Shalfoon A. (Try),
20', Kemara T. (Missed Conversion),
21', Fihaki C. (Try),
21', Kemara T. (Missed Conversion),
25', Lomani F. ↓, Kuruvoli S. ↑,
40', Ikanivere T. ↓, Togiatama Z. ↑,
2nd Half (14 - 14)
41', Taylor C. ↓, Moananu I. ↑,
41', Calder S. ↓, Newell F. ↑,
47', McLeod D. ↓, Aumua L. ↑,
48', Bower G. ↓, Sykes-Martin K. ↑,
50', Doge M. ↓, Tawake S. ↑,
54', Canakaivata E. ↓, Waqa E. ↑,
54', Nasilasila I. ↓, Rotuisolia R. L. ↑,
54', Hetet H. ↓, Tuqiri E. ↑,
56', Kellow C. ↓, Blackadder E. ↑,
57', Tabuavou I. ↓, Rabitu I. ↑,
57', Springer M. (Try),
58', Kemara T. (Conversion Goal),
60', Kemara T. ↓, O'Connor J. ↑,
60', Hotham N. ↓, Drummond M. ↑,
61', Cahill T. ↓, Strange Q. ↑,
64', Vocevoce M. ↓, Miramira V. ↑,
64', Moananu I. (Try),
65', O'Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
66', Rabitu I. (Try),
67', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Conversion Goal),
69', Waqa E. (Try),
70', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Fijian Drua is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Crusaders is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Crusaders could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Fijian Drua have a series of guest games.

Crusaders will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Fijian Drua won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 56:144 (average 14:36).

Including matches at home between the teams Fijian Drua won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 45:34 (average 22.5:17).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fijian Drua
Super Rugby
23.03.25	Western Force - Fijian Drua	52:15 ✺
14.03.25	Brumbies - Fijian Drua	38:21 ✺
07.03.25	Fijian Drua - Chiefs	28:24 ✺
28.02.25	Waratahs - Fijian Drua	29:24 ✺
21.02.25	Hurricanes - Fijian Drua	38:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWLL
- Crusaders Rugby
Super Rugby
29.03.25	Crusaders - Moana Pasifika	29:45 ✺
22.03.25	Blues - Crusaders	19:42 ✺
14.03.25	Crusaders - Western Force	55:33 ✺
08.03.25	Crusaders - Reds	43:19 ✺
21.02.25	Chiefs - Crusaders	49:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Super Rugby
08.03.24	Fijian Drua - Crusaders	20:10
10.06.23	Crusaders - Fijian Drua	49:8
10.03.23	Fijian Drua - Crusaders	25:24
20.05.22	Crusaders - Fijian Drua	61:3

Fijian Drua - Crusaders: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide