Match Info

Super Rugby - Round 15

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: HBF Park (Perth)

Referee: Williams P. (Nzl)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+


	Western Force		Fijian Drua

	1	X	2
	1.13	34	6
	1.13	35	5.8
	1.14	29.2	6.08	Watch
	1.14	23	5.75
	1.11	31	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.13 ↓ (1.15)	30.44 ↑ (27.25)	6.03 ↑ (5.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-15)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Western Force
81.7%

Draw
3%

Fijian Drua
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

80%

3.4%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Western Force has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Fijian Drua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Western Force - Fijian Drua Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 37:22

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Johnson-Holmes H.	1. Tuni M.
2. Paenga-Amosa B.	2. Togiatama Z.
3. Epenisa M.	3. Tawake S.
4. Williams J. (C)	4. Vocevoce M.
5. Swain D.	5. Mayanavanua T. (C)
6. Champion de Crespigny R.	6. Miramira V.
7. Tizzano C.	7. Salawa K.
8. Ekuasi V.	8. Tuwai I.
9. Hastie N.	9. Fines-Leleiwasa I.
10. Burey M.	10. Valetini K.
11. Pietsch D.	11. Mataele M.
12. Stewart H.	12. Vakatawa V.
13. Kuenzle B.	13. Maika T.
14. Lomax Z.	14. Rakuro T.
15. Grealy M.	15. Rabitu I.
Substitutes
16. Dolly N.	16. Ravudi S.
17. Pearce M.	17. Cakobau P.
18. Faagase S.	18. Doge M.
19. Molina F.	19. Nasilasila I.
20. Harris W.	20. Canakaivata E.
21. Moyano A.	21. Kuruvoli S.
22. Fakafanua B.	22. Armstrong-Ravula I.
23. Beale K.	23. Namoce I.
Coaches
. Cron S.	. Jackson G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (7 - 12)
10', Tizzano C. (Try),
11', Burey M. (Conversion Goal),
17', Salawa K. (Try),
18', Valetini K. (Conversion Goal),
28', Togiatama Z. (Try),
29', Valetini K. (Missed Conversion),
2nd Half (12 - 3)
47', Nasilasila I. ↓, Tamani J. ↑,
49', Tawake S. ↓, Doge M. ↑,
51', Ekuasi V. (Try),
51', Togiatama Z. ↓, Ravudi S. ↑,
52', Burey M. (Conversion Goal),
52', Kuenzle B. ↓, Beale K. ↑,
54', Tuwai I. ↓, Canakaivata E. ↑,
56', Paenga-Amosa B. ↓, Dolly N. ↑,
56', Swain D. ↓, Molina F. ↑,
58', Johnson-Holmes H. ↓, Pearce M. ↑,
58', Epenisa M. ↓, Faagase S. ↑,
58', Maika T. 🟨,
59', Tuni M. ↓, Cakobau P. ↑,
59', Vakatawa V. ↓, Namoce I. ↑,
64', Valetini K. (Penalty Goal),
64', Fines-Leleiwasa I. ↓, Kuruvoli S. ↑,
65', Hastie N. ↓, Moyano A. ↑,
66', Ekuasi V. ↓, Harris W. ↑,
69', Lomax Z. (Try),
70', Rakuro T. ↓, Armstrong-Ravula I. ↑,
71', Burey M. (Missed Conversion),
73', Stewart H. ↓, Fakafanua B. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 9 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Western Force won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Western Force may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Western Force is the obvious favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Western Force won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 262:198. (average 29.1:22).

Including home matches between the teams, Western Force won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 162:72. (average 40.5:18).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Western Force Rugby
Super Rugby
16.05.26	Western Force - Reds	19:14 ✺
09.05.26	Brumbies - Western Force	32:15 ✺
01.05.26	Waratahs - Western Force	17:20 ✺
18.04.26	Western Force - Crusaders	31:26 ✺
11.04.26	Fijian Drua - Western Force	24:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLWWL
- Fijian Drua
Super Rugby
16.05.26	Fijian Drua - Waratahs	35:50 ✺
02.05.26	Fijian Drua - Highlanders	24:14 ✺
26.04.26	Chiefs - Fijian Drua	42:22 ✺
18.04.26	Brumbies - Fijian Drua	28:33 ✺
11.04.26	Fijian Drua - Western Force	24:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Super Rugby
11.04.26	Fijian Drua - Western Force	24:22
16.05.25	Fijian Drua - Western Force	38:7
23.03.25	Western Force - Fijian Drua	52:15
11.05.24	Western Force - Fijian Drua	48:10
29.03.24	Fijian Drua - Western Force	31:13
12.05.23	Western Force - Fijian Drua	34:14
18.03.22	Fijian Drua - Western Force	18:20

Western Force - Fijian Drua: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide