The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crusaders 78.8%
Draw 2.9%
Reds 18.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
75.3%
3.5%
21.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crusaders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
Reds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Crusaders - Reds Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:19
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Williams T.
1. Faagase S.
2. Taylor C.
2. Asiata R.
3. Newell F.
3. Nonggorr Z.
4. Barrett S.
4. Canham J.
5. Shalfoon A.
5. Smith R.
6. Blackadder E.
6. Brial J.
7. Christie T.
7. Mcreight F.
8. Lio-Willie C.
8. Wilson H.
9. Hotham N.
9. McDermott T. (C)
10. Reihana R.
10. Lynagh T.
11. Reece S.
11. Daugunu F.
12. Havili D. (C)
12. Paisami O.
13. Ennor B.
13. Flook J.
14. Fihaki C.
14. Anderson L.
15. Jordan W.
15. Campbell J.
Substitutes
16. Bell G.
16. Nasser J.
17. Bower G.
17. Toomaga-Allen J.
18. Sykes-Martin K.
18. Bloomfield N.
19. Hannah J.
19. Blyth A.
20. Grace C.
20. Bryant J.
21. Preston K.
21. Thomas K.
22. O'Connor J.
22. Pakeho D.
23. McNicholl J.
23. Ryan T.
Coaches
. Penney R.
. Kiss L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (12 - 0)
15', Barrett S. (Try),
16', Reihana R. (Missed Conversion),
27', Williams T. (Try),
28', Reihana R. (Conversion Goal),
28', Reihana R. ↓, O'Connor J. ↑,
34', Williams T. ↓, Bower G. ↑,
34', Lynagh T. ↓, Ryan T. ↑,
2nd Half (20 - 12)
41', O'Connor J. ↓, Reihana R. ↑,
49', Asiata R. ↓, Nasser J. ↑,
49', Faagase S. ↓, Toomaga-Allen J. ↑,
49', Canham J. ↓, Blyth A. ↑,
57', Hotham N. (Try),
58', Reihana R. (Conversion Goal),
58', Taylor C. ↓, Bell G. ↑,
58', Christie T. ↓, Grace C. ↑,
58', Ennor B. ↓, McLeod D. ↑,
60', Reihana R. (Penalty Goal),
60', Hotham N. ↓, Preston K. ↑,
62', McDermott T. ↓, Thomas K. ↑,
65', Newell F. ↓, Sykes-Martin K. ↑,
66', Reihana R. (Try),
67', Reihana R. (Missed Conversion),
68', Jordan W. ↓, O'Connor J. ↑,
68', Barrett S. ↓, Cahill T. ↑,
69', Nonggorr Z. ↓, Bloomfield N. ↑,
69', Brial J. ↓, Bryant J. ↑,
70', Blackadder E. 🟨,
70', Nasser J. (Try),
71', Daugunu F. (Conversion Goal),
77', Mcreight F. (Try),
78', Daugunu F. (Missed Conversion),
78', Flook J. ↓, Pakeho D. ↑,
79', Preston K. (Try),
80', O'Connor J. (Missed Conversion),
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crusaders won 4.
Crusaders is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Reds has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Crusaders is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Crusaders won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 483:234. (average 34.5:16.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Crusaders won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 294:133. (average 32.7:14.8).
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Williams T. 
Faagase S. 
Toomaga-Allen J. 
McNicholl J. 
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