Match Info

Super Rugby - Round 6

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Location: Churchill Park (Lautoka)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
United-kingdom	Sky Go, Sky Sports+


	Fijian Drua		Reds

	1	X	2
	1.5	21	2.63
	1.52	25	2.55
	1.49	23.12	2.77
	1.5	23	2.63
	1.51	21	2.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.74)	22.62 ↑ (20.22)	2.65 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fijian Drua
61.2%

Draw
4.1%

Reds
34.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.7%

4.5%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fijian Drua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fijian Drua's performance.

Reds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Reds might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Fijian Drua - Reds Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:25

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hetet H.	1. Ross A.
2. Togiatama Z.	2. Nasser J.
3. Doge M.	3. Bloomfield N.
4. Vocevoce M.	4. Uru S.
5. Nasilasila I.	5. Salakaia-Loto L.
6. Waqa E.	6. Brial J.
7. Salawa K.	7. Bryant J.
8. Canakaivata E.	8. Wilson H.
9. Lomani F.	9. Thomas K.
10. Armstrong-Ravula I.	10. McLaughlin-Phillips H.
11. Loganimasi P.	11. Ryan T.
12. Rabitu I.	12. Paisami H.
13. Samusamuvodre T.	13. Henry I.
14. Nasova J.	14. Daugunu F.
15. Droasese I.	15. Campbell J.
Substitutes
16. Ravudi S.	16. Asiata R.
17. Ravai P.	17. Blake G.
18. Tawake S.	18. Toomaga-Allen J.
19. Miramira V.	19. Muller H.
20. Tuwai I.	20. Latu V.
21. Murray M.	21. Werchon L.
22. Fines-Leleiwasa I.	22. Volavola B.
23. Tabuavou I.	23. Pritchard T.
Coaches
. Jackson G.	. Kiss L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (6 - 7)
8', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Missed Penalty),
13', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Penalty Goal),
24', Thomas K. (Try),
25', McLaughlin-Phillips H. (Conversion Goal),
29', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (0 - 14)
42', Campbell J. 🟨,
48', Ross A. ↓, Blake G. ↑,
48', Bloomfield N. ↓, Toomaga-Allen J. ↑,
50', Doge M. ↓, Tawake S. ↑,
50', Togiatama Z. ↓, Ravudi S. ↑,
51', Ryan T. ↓, Pritchard T. ↑,
52', Thomas K. ↓, Werchon L. ↑,
53', Rabitu I. ↓, Tabuavou I. ↑,
53', Salawa K. ↓, Murray M. ↑,
54', McLaughlin-Phillips H. (Try),
55', Nasser J. ↓, Asiata R. ↑,
55', Nasilasila I. ↓, Miramira V. ↑,
55', McLaughlin-Phillips H. (Conversion Goal),
57', Hetet H. ↓, Ravai P. ↑,
61', Lomani F. ↓, Fines-Leleiwasa I. ↑,
63', Asiata R. (Try),
63', McLaughlin-Phillips H. (Conversion Goal),
67', Waqa E. ↓, Tuwai I. ↑,
68', Wilson H. ↓, Latu V. ↑,
70', McLaughlin-Phillips H. ↓, Volavola B. ↑,
71', Salakaia-Loto L. ↓, Muller H. ↑,
71', Tuwai I. ↓, Salawa K. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fijian Drua won 3.

Fijian Drua may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fijian Drua might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Fijian Drua will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Fijian Drua won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 164:181. (average 27.3:30.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Fijian Drua won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 105:69. (average 35:23).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fijian Drua
Super Rugby
13.03.26	Fijian Drua - Brumbies	42:27 ✺
27.02.26	Fijian Drua - Hurricanes	25:20 ✺
20.02.26	Waratahs - Fijian Drua	36:13 ✺
13.02.26	Fijian Drua - Moana Pasifika	26:40 ✺
31.05.25	Reds - Fijian Drua	52:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WWLLL
- Reds Rugby
Super Rugby
14.03.26	Reds - Waratahs	26:17 ✺
07.03.26	Brumbies - Reds	31:34 ✺
27.02.26	Reds - Highlanders	31:14 ✺
13.02.26	Waratahs - Reds	36:12 ✺
Super Rugby AUS
28.09.25	Western Force - Reds	22:47 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Super Rugby
31.05.25	Reds - Fijian Drua	52:7
02.05.25	Fijian Drua - Reds	36:33
17.05.24	Fijian Drua - Reds	28:19
03.06.23	Fijian Drua - Reds	41:17
19.03.23	Reds - Fijian Drua	27:24
12.03.22	Reds - Fijian Drua	33:28

Fijian Drua - Reds: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide