Match Info

Premiership Rugby - Round 2

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Kingsholm Stadium (Gloucester)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Gloucester		Northampton Saints

	1	X	2
	1.44	21	2.88
	1.57	34	2.37
	1.42	23	2.9
	2.59	17.94	1.57	Watch
	1.41	21	3.12	Watch
	1.44	25	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (2.02)	23.66 ↑ (21.33)	2.63 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gloucester
59%

Draw
4.1%

Northampton Saints
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

4.3%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gloucester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gloucester's performance.

Northampton Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Northampton Saints might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Gloucester - Northampton Saints Predictions

Users Predictions: Northampton Saints will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Northampton Saints will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:33

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Knight C.	1. Iyogun E.
2. Blake S.	2. Walker H.
3. Fasogbon A.	3. Millar-Mills E.
4. Thomas F.	4. Coles A.
5. Jordan C.	5. Mescht JJ
6. Basham J.	6. Scott-Young A.
7. Venter J.	7. Pearson T.
8. Mann J.	8. Chick C. (C)
9. Williams T. (C)	9. McParland A.
10. Byrne R.	10. Belleau A.
11. Thorley O.	11. Martin J.
12. Atkinson S.	12. Litchfield T.
13. Joseph W.	13. Hutchinson R.
14. Loader B.	14. Todaro E.
15. Atkinson C.	15. Hendy G.
Substitutes
16. Innard J.	16. Smith R.
17. McArthur A.	17. Fischetti D.
18. Gotovtsev K.	18. Kundiona C.
19. Alemanno M.	19. Lockett T.
20. Bokenham H.	20. Brown F.
21. Taylor H.	21. Weimann J.
22. Englefield C.	22. Thame T.
23. Edwards-Giraud J.	23. Pater J.
Coaches
. Skivington G.	. Vesty S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (7 - 31)
4', Pearson T. (Try),
5', Belleau A. (Conversion Goal),
8', Litchfield T. (Try),
9', Belleau A. (Conversion Goal),
15', Millar-Mills E. ↓, Kundiona C. ↑,
24', Belleau A. (Penalty Goal),
29', McParland A. (Try),
30', Belleau A. (Conversion Goal),
34', Hendy G. (Try),
35', Belleau A. (Conversion Goal),
40', Jordan C. (Try),
40', Joseph W. (Try),
40+1', Byrne R. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (28 - 6)
42', Byrne R. (Conversion Goal),
45', Belleau A. (Penalty Goal),
47', Mescht JJ ↓, Lockett T. ↑,
48', Hendy G. 🟨,
49', Blake S. ↓, Innard J. ↑,
49', Iyogun E. ↓, Fischetti D. ↑,
50', Jordan C. ↓, Alemanno M. ↑,
52', Pearson T. 🟨,
53', Venter J. (Try),
53', Byrne R. (Conversion Goal),
54', Mann J. ↓, Bokenham H. ↑,
55', Walker H. ↓, Smith R. ↑,
56', Basham J. ↓, Taylor H. ↑,
59', Alemanno M. ↓, Jordan C. ↑,
60', Kundiona C. ↓, Iyogun E. ↑,
61', Jordan C. (Try),
62', Byrne R. (Conversion Goal),
63', Knight C. ↓, McArthur A. ↑,
63', Lockett T. 🟨,
67', Thomas F. ↓, Alemanno M. ↑,
67', McParland A. ↓, Weimann J. ↑,
69', Fasogbon A. (Try),
69', Byrne R. (Conversion Goal),
70', Loader B. ↓, Edwards-Giraud J. ↑,
71', Byrne R. 🟨,
72', Belleau A. (Penalty Goal),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gloucester won 2.

Northampton Saints may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Gloucester could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Gloucester will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gloucester won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 513:549. (average 25.7:27.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Gloucester won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 298:251. (average 27.1:22.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gloucester Rugby
English Premiership Rugby
25.09.25	Sale Sharks - Gloucester	27:10 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
19.09.25	Gloucester - Bristol Rugby	24:40 ✺
12.09.25	Gloucester - Exeter Chiefs	29:15 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
31.05.25	Gloucester - Northampton Saints	41:26 ✺
16.05.25	Newcastle Red Bulls - Gloucester	12:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWWW
- Northampton Saints
English Premiership Rugby
28.09.25	Northampton Saints - Exeter Chiefs	33:33 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
19.09.25	Saracens - Northampton Saints	34:49 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
31.05.25	Gloucester - Northampton Saints	41:26 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
24.05.25	Northampton Saints - Bordeaux Bègles	20:28 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
17.05.25	Northampton Saints - Saracens	28:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Premiership Rugby
31.05.25	Gloucester - Northampton Saints	41:26
30.11.24	Northampton Saints - Gloucester	17:25
11.05.24	Northampton Saints - Gloucester	90:0
23.12.23	Gloucester - Northampton Saints	29:31
25.02.23	Northampton Saints - Gloucester	41:34
03.12.22	Gloucester - Northampton Saints	34:19
Challenge Cup Rugby
16.04.22	Gloucester - Northampton Saints	31:21

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