Match Info

European Rugby Champions Cup - Round 4

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kingsholm Stadium (Gloucester) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport Rugby
Asia	—	Premier Sports Rugby Asia
France	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Nigeria	21:00	SuperSport Rugby
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV5
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport Rugby
United Kingdom	20:00	FloRugby.com, FloSports app, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player


	Gloucester		Toulon

	1	X	2
	5	34	1.17
	5.4	35	1.15
	11.85	31.13	1.04	Watch
	5.5	34	1.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.94 ↑ (3.98)	33.53 ↑ (23.67)	1.13 ↓ (1.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gloucester
13.6%

Draw
2.8%

Toulon
83.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.1%

3.9%

73%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gloucester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gloucester's form might have worsened.

Toulon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toulon's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Gloucester - Toulon Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Toulon will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:35

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bleuler D.	1. Gros J. B.
2. Crane W.	2. Baubigny T.
3. Laulala N.	3. Sinckler K.
4. Eite D.	4. Ribbans D.
5. Alemanno M.	5. Alainu'uese B.
6. Trenholm W.	6. Ludlam L.
7. Ludlow L.	7. Ollivon C. (C)
8. Clement J.	8. Mercer Z.
9. Williams T. (C)	9. White B.
10. Atkinson C.	10. Albornoz T.
11. Cotgreave J.	11. Ferte M.
12. Atkinson S.	12. Cowie O.
13. Butler W.	13. Brex N.
14. Hathaway J.	14. Drean G.
15. Barton G.	15. Domon M.
Substitutes
16. Knowles G.	16. Toevalu J.
17. Rapava-Ruskin V.	17. Ametlla L.
18. Knight C.	18. Priso D.
19. Gwynne D.	19. Javakhia G.
20. Venter J.	20. Abadie E.
21. Austin M.	21. Serin B.
22. Byrne R.	22. Garcia M.
23. Morris J.	23. Sinzelle J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (7 - 21)
9', Drean G. (Try),
10', Domon M. (Conversion Goal),
13', Ferte M. (Try),
14', Domon M. (Conversion Goal),
31', Clement J. (Try),
32', Barton G. (Conversion Goal),
37', Ludlam L. (Try),
38', Domon M. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (7 - 10)
59', Domon M. (Penalty Goal),
68', Williams T. (Try),
69', Barton G. (Conversion Goal),
80+1', Drean G. (Try),
80+2', Domon M. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Gloucester is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Toulon has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gloucester may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Gloucester has had a series of away games.

In this match, Toulon is the undisputed favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Outrights of European Rugby Champions Cup for now

Gloucester: 0.66%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gloucester Rugby
European Rugby Champions Cup
09.01.26	Edinburgh - Gloucester	26:24 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
02.01.26	Newcastle Red Bulls - Gloucester	25:19 ✺
27.12.25	Gloucester - Saracens	21:30 ✺
19.12.25	Leicester Tigers - Gloucester	45:14 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
13.12.25	Munster - Gloucester	31:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- RC Toulonnais
European Rugby Champions Cup
11.01.26	Toulon - Munster	27:25 ✺
French Top 14
04.01.26	La Rochelle - Toulon	66:0 ✺
28.12.25	Toulon - Perpignan	31:16 ✺
21.12.25	Bordeaux Bègles - Toulon	46:7 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
14.12.25	Toulon - Bath	45:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWLW

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