Match Info
Premiership Rugby - Round 9Date: 2 January 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished Location: Kingston Park (Newcastle) 🌤️ ...Where to Watch on TV: | Country | Kick-Off | TV Channels |
|---|
 Australia | 06:45 | Stan Sport |
 New Zealand | 08:45 | SKY Go NZ |
 United Kingdom | 19:45 | Discovery+, FloRugby.com, TNT Sports 5, TNT Sports Extra |
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Newcastle Red Bulls |
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Gloucester |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.38 |
21 |
1.62 |
|
 |
3.3 |
26 |
1.33 |
|
 |
2.14 |
22 |
1.73 |
|
 |
2.49 |
18.29 |
1.62 |
 Watch |
 |
2.2 |
21 |
1.73 |
|
 |
2.24 |
19 |
1.75 |
Watch |
 |
2.4 |
21 |
1.62 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.45 ↓
(3.64) |
21.18 ↑
(20.78) |
1.63 ↑
(1.33) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 48.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Newcastle Red Bulls
38.2% | Draw
4.4% | Gloucester
57.4% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Newcastle Red Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newcastle Red Bulls's performance.Gloucester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gloucester might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Red Bulls than the current prediction. (-12.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newcastle Red Bulls that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester than the current prediction. (+12.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gloucester could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Newcastle Red Bulls - Gloucester Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -3.5 - Gloucester (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gloucester (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:26 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1.  McCallum M.
| 1.  Rapava-Ruskin V.
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2.  McGuigan G. (C)
| 2. Crane W.
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3. Palframan R.
| 3. Fasogbon A.
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4. Usher O.
| 4.  Thomas F.
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5. Hodgson J.
| 5. Clark A.
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6. Gordon T.
| 6. Gwynne D.
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7.  Christie T.
| 7. Ludlow L.
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8. Leatherbarrow O.
| 8. Clement J.
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9.  Benitez Cruz S.
| 9. Williams T. (C)
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10.  Connon B.
| 10. Byrne R.
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11. Obatoyinbo E.
| 11. Thorley O.
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12. Arnold S.
| 12. Atkinson S.
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13. Hearle A.
| 13. Knight W.
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14. Wade C.
| 14. Cotgreave J.
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15. Grayson E.
| 15. Atkinson C.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
16. Fletcher O.
| 16. Knowles G.
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17.  Hancock C.
| 17. Knight C.
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18.  de Bruin L.
| 18. Ford-Robinson J.
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19. Baker F.
| 19. Jordan C.
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20.  Mafi A.
| 20. Venter J.
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21. Elliott J.
| 21. Austin M.
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22. Chamberlain B.
| 22. Barton G.
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23. Spencer O.
| 23. Hathaway J.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Dickens A.
| . Skivington G.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (15 - 5)
- 7', McGuigan G. (Try),
- 8', Connon B. (Conversion Goal),
- 15', Hodgson J. 🟨,
- 15', Clark A. 🟨,
- 16', Christie T. (Try),
- 17', Connon B. (Missed Conversion),
- 22', Thorley O. (Try),
- 23', Byrne R. (Missed Conversion),
- 40+1', Connon B. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (10 - 14)
- 45', Benitez Cruz S. (Try),
- 46', Connon B. (Conversion Goal),
- 47', Thorley O. 🟥,
- 50', Leatherbarrow O. ↓, Mafi A. ↑,
- 50', Hearle A. ↓, Spencer O. ↑,
- 54', Connon B. (Penalty Goal),
- 55', Knight W. ↓, Hathaway J. ↑,
- 55', Clark A. ↓, Jordan C. ↑,
- 55', Grayson E. ↓, Chamberlain B. ↑,
- 58', Rapava-Ruskin V. ↓, Knight C. ↑,
- 58', Fasogbon A. ↓, Ford-Robinson J. ↑,
- 60', Austin M. (Try),
- 61', Byrne R. (Conversion Goal),
- 61', Gwynne D. ↓, Venter J. ↑,
- 61', Spencer O. ↓, Hearle A. ↑,
- 67', Thorley O. ↓, Barton G. ↑,
- 71', Knight C. (Try),
- 72', Byrne R. (Conversion Goal),
- 72', McGuigan G. ↓, Fletcher O. ↑,
- 72', Palframan R. ↓, de Bruin L. ↑,
- 72', McCallum M. ↓, Hancock C. ↑,
- 72', Benitez Cruz S. ↓, Elliott J. ↑,
- 72', Mafi A. ↓, Baker F. ↑,
- 72', Austin M. ↓, Price R. ↑,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 1.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game. Gloucester might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 348:498. (average 17.4:24.9).Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 180:197. (average 18:19.7).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Gloucester | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 147:67 | 16 |
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| 9 | Newcastle Red Bulls | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 90:120 | 8 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| English Premiership Rugby | | | 16.05.25 | Newcastle Red Bulls - Gloucester | 12:26 | | English Premiership Rugby Cup | | | 28.02.25 | Newcastle Red Bulls - Gloucester | 22:17 | | English Premiership Rugby | | | 26.10.24 | Gloucester - Newcastle Red Bulls | 36:7 | | 18.05.24 | Gloucester - Newcastle Red Bulls | 54:14 | | 20.10.23 | Newcastle Red Bulls - Gloucester | 14:18 | | 24.03.23 | Newcastle Red Bulls - Gloucester | 17:12 | | 12.11.22 | Gloucester - Newcastle Red Bulls | 21:27 |
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