Match Info
Super Rugby - Round 11Date: 25 April 2026, SaturdayLocation: One NZ Stadium (Christchurch)Referee: Petrie T. (Nzl)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Highlanders |
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Moana Pasifika |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.1 |
34 |
7 |
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 |
1.11 |
35 |
6.2 |
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 |
1.12 |
33.19 |
6.75 |
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 |
1.13 |
34 |
5.5 |
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 |
1.1 |
34 |
7 |
Watch |
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.11 ↓ (1.18) |
34.04 ↓ (38) |
6.49 ↑ (4.92) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 63.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-20)
- The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Highlanders 83.1% | Draw 2.7% | Moana Pasifika 14.2% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Highlanders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Moana Pasifika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Highlanders - Moana Pasifika Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 42:22 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1. de Groot E.
| 1. Pole A.
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2. Vikena S.
| 2. Sanerivi M.
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3. Ma'u S.
| 3. Apoua C.
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4. Lavanini T.
| 4. Craig A.
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5. Dunshea M.
| 5. Tupou J.
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6. Haig O.
| 6. Faiilagi M.
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7. Lasaqa V.
| 7. Paea S.
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8. Broughton N.
| 8. Tupou Ta'eiloa S.
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9. Lennox A.
| 9. Taumateine J.
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10. Millar C.
| 10. Pellegrini P.
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11. Tito-Harris X.
| 11. Vaihu G.
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12. Tavatavanawai T.
| 12. Latu T.
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13. Tele'a T.
| 13. Alaimalo S.
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14. Lowe J.
| 14. Tuitama T.
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15. Ratumaitavuki-Kneepkens J.
| 15. Havili W.
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| Substitutes |
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16. Taylor J.
| 16. Harada M.
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17. Bartlett J.
| 17. Hala M.
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18. Taavao A.
| 18. Latu P.
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19. Howden T.
| 19. Savage T.
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20. Renton H.
| 20. Tauelangi O.
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21. Casey L.
| 21. Pulu A.
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22. Fakatava F.
| 22. Lalomilo L.
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23. Robinson T.
| 23. Leota I.
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| Coaches |
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. Joseph J.
| . Umaga T.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (7 - 10)
- 20', Pellegrini P. ↓, Leota I. ↑,
- 20', Paea S. 🟨,
- 22', Sanerivi M. ↓, Harada M. ↑,
- 25', Lowe J. (Try),
- 26', Millar C. (Conversion Goal),
- 28', Leota I. (Try),
- 32', Harada M. ↓, Sanerivi M. ↑,
- 32', Lowe J. 🟨,
- 34', Vaihu G. (Try),
- 2nd Half (20 - 7)
- 41', Ma'u S. ↓, Taavao A. ↑,
- 41', Vikena S. ↓, Taylor J. ↑,
- 41', Lavanini T. ↓, Howden T. ↑,
- 41', Apoua C. ↓, Latu P. ↑,
- 43', Millar C. (Penalty Goal),
- 48', Taavao A. (Try),
- 49', Millar C. (Conversion Goal),
- 54', Tito-Harris X. ↓, Fakatava F. ↑,
- 54', Tupou J. ↓, Savage T. ↑,
- 54', Lasaqa V. ↓, Casey L. ↑,
- 54', Latu T. ↓, Lalomilo L. ↑,
- 57', Pole A. ↓, Hala M. ↑,
- 60', Lennox A. (Try),
- 60', Millar C. (Conversion Goal),
- 60', Pulu A. ↓, Paea S. ↑,
- 60', Lalomilo L. ↓, Apoua C. ↑,
- 61', de Groot E. ↓, Bartlett J. ↑,
- 64', Sanerivi M. ↓, Harada M. ↑,
- 67', Pulu A. (Try),
- 67', Havili W. (Conversion Goal),
- 68', Broughton N. ↓, Renton H. ↑,
- 78', Bartlett J. ↓, de Groot E. ↑,
- 80+2', Millar C. (Penalty Goal),
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 7).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Highlanders won 4.Highlanders has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Moana Pasifika is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0). In this match, Highlanders is the clear favorite.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Highlanders won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 244:154. (average 34.9:22).Including home matches between the teams, Highlanders won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 101:72. (average 33.7:24).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Super Rugby | | | 27.03.26 | Moana Pasifika - Highlanders | 19:39 | | 03.05.25 | Highlanders - Moana Pasifika | 29:34 | | 28.02.25 | Moana Pasifika - Highlanders | 29:31 | | 03.05.24 | Moana Pasifika - Highlanders | 17:28 | | 24.02.24 | Highlanders - Moana Pasifika | 35:21 | | 31.03.23 | Moana Pasifika - Highlanders | 17:45 | | 08.04.22 | Highlanders - Moana Pasifika | 37:17 |
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