Match Info
Super Rugby - Round 15Date: 23 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: Sky Stadium (Wellington)Referee: Gardner A. (Aus)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Argentina | Disney+ |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
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 |
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Hurricanes |
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Highlanders |
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|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.02 |
51 |
12 |
|
 |
1.03 |
45 |
10 |
|
 |
1.04 |
37.75 |
11.5 |
Watch |
 |
1.04 |
41 |
9.5 |
|
 |
1.04 |
50 |
14 |
|
 |
1.06 |
40 |
8.8 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.04 ↓ (1.06) |
44.13 ↑ (40) |
10.97 ↑ (8.8) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 57.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-23)
- The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Hurricanes 89.4% | Draw 2.1% | Highlanders 8.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hurricanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Highlanders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Hurricanes - Highlanders Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 41:18 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1. Lauaki S.
| 1. de Groot E.
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2. Aumua A.
| 2. Taylor J.
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3. Tosi P.
| 3. Taavao A.
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4. Walker-Leawere I.
| 4. Lavanini T.
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5. Dearns W.
| 5. Dunshea M.
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6. Flanders D.
| 6. Howden T.
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7. Lakai P.
| 7. Casey L.
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8. Iose B.
| 8. Renton H.
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9. Enari E.
| 9. Shearer N.
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10. Love R.
| 10. Millar C.
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11. Naholo K.
| 11. Lowe J.
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12. Barrett J.
| 12. Tavatavanawai T.
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13. Sullivan B.
| 13. Nareki J.
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14. Punivai N.
| 14. Tito-Harris X.
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15. Moorby J.
| 15. Ratumaitavuki-Kneepkens J.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
16. Devery J.
| 16. Bell H.
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17. Rakete-Stones P.
| 17. Lienert-Brown D.
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18. Mafile'o T.
| 18. Ma'u S.
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19. Allen T.
| 19. Haig O.
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20. Kirifi D.
| 20. Withy S.
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21. Viljoen J.
| 21. Lennox A.
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22. Cashmore L.
| 22. Solomon S.
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23. Rova J.
| 23. Grindlay M.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Laidlaw C.
| . Joseph J.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (28 - 14)
- 2', Moorby J. (Try),
- 3', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
- 6', Lienert-Brown D. 🟨,
- 7', Flanders D. ↓, Kirifi D. ↑,
- 7', Lienert-Brown D. 🟥,
- 9', Naholo K. (Try),
- 10', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
- 15', Kirifi D. (Try),
- 16', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
- 18', Lowe J. ↓, Grindlay M. ↑,
- 19', Renton H. ↓, de Groot E. ↑,
- 25', Ratumaitavuki-Kneepkens J. (Try),
- 26', Millar C. (Conversion Goal),
- 29', Love R. (Try),
- 30', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
- 30', Lauaki S. ↓, Rakete-Stones P. ↑,
- 33', Bell H. ↓, Taylor J. ↑,
- 33', Ma'u S. ↓, Taavao A. ↑,
- 40+1', Tavatavanawai T. (Try),
- 40+2', Millar C. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (17 - 14)
- 41', Punivai N. 🟨,
- 42', Tito-Harris X. 🟨,
- 42', Naholo K. (Try),
- 44', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
- 46', Shearer N. ↓, Lennox A. ↑,
- 49', Lennox A. (Try),
- 49', Millar C. (Conversion Goal),
- 50', Tosi P. ↓, Mafile'o T. ↑,
- 52', Iose B. (Try),
- 54', Tito-Harris X. ↓, Solomon S. ↑,
- 55', Dunshea M. ↓, Haig O. ↑,
- 55', Aumua A. ↓, Devery J. ↑,
- 59', Enari E. (Try),
- 62', Enari E. ↓, Viljoen J. ↑,
- 67', Rakete-Stones P. 🟨,
- 68', Casey L. (Try),
- 69', Naholo K. ↓, Cashmore L. ↑,
- 69', Millar C. (Conversion Goal),
- 75', Punivai N. ↓, Proctor B. ↑,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hurricanes won 5.Hurricanes is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).In recent matches, Highlanders has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Highlanders may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Hurricanes is the obvious favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hurricanes won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 560:375. (average 28:18.8).Including home matches between the teams, Hurricanes won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 280:171. (average 28:17.1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Super Rugby | | | 20.03.26 | Highlanders - Hurricanes | 7:50 | | 16.05.25 | Hurricanes - Highlanders | 24:20 | | 14.03.25 | Highlanders - Hurricanes | 18:20 | | 01.06.24 | Hurricanes - Highlanders | 41:14 | | 30.03.24 | Highlanders - Hurricanes | 12:47 | | 08.04.23 | Highlanders - Hurricanes | 14:29 | | 16.04.22 | Highlanders - Hurricanes | 21:22 |
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