Match Info

Heartland Championships - Round 5

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday


	Horowhenua-Kapiti		West Coast

	1	X	2
	2.83	24	1.45
	3	21	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.17)	22.5 ↓ (23)	1.44 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Horowhenua-Kapiti
31.6%

Draw
4.1%

West Coast
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Horowhenua-Kapiti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Horowhenua-Kapiti's form might have worsened.

West Coast has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting West Coast's recent form is better than expected.

#ad

Preview

West Coast is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Horowhenua-Kapiti won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 170:151. (average 34:30.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Horowhenua-Kapiti won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 124:101. (average 41.3:33.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Horowhenua-Kapiti Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
05.09.25	King Country - Horowhenua-Kapiti	36:46 ✺
29.08.25	Horowhenua-Kapiti - Poverty Bay	19:26 ✺
22.08.25	Mid Canterbury - Horowhenua-Kapiti	40:27 ✺
15.08.25	Horowhenua-Kapiti - Buller	59:14 ✺
11.10.24	Horowhenua-Kapiti - West Coast	51:52 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLWL
- West Coast Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
05.09.25	West Coast - Wairarapa Bush	14:24 ✺
29.08.25	Whanganui - West Coast	19:38 ✺
22.08.25	East Coast - West Coast	21:80 ✺
15.08.25	West Coast - King Country	38:18 ✺
19.10.24	King Country - West Coast	46:44 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Heartland Championships
11.10.24	Horowhenua-Kapiti - West Coast	51:52
30.08.24	West Coast - Horowhenua-Kapiti	26:27
30.08.19	Horowhenua-Kapiti - West Coast	21:27
15.09.17	West Coast - Horowhenua-Kapiti	24:19
07.10.16	Horowhenua-Kapiti - West Coast	52:22

Horowhenua-Kapiti - West Coast: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide