Match Info

Heartland Championships - Round 3

Date: 29 August 2025, Friday


	Horowhenua-Kapiti		Poverty Bay

	1	X	2
	1.05	28	9.7
	1.05	29	9.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.05 ↓ (1.06)	28.5 ↓ (50)	9.55 ↑ (7.3)

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-18)

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Horowhenua-Kapiti
87.2%

Draw
3.2%

Poverty Bay
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

85.7%

1.8%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Horowhenua-Kapiti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Poverty Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

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Preview

In this match, Horowhenua-Kapiti is the obvious favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Horowhenua-Kapiti won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 110:67. (average 36.7:22.3).

Including home match between the teams, Horowhenua-Kapiti won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 38:28.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Horowhenua-Kapiti Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
22.08.25	Mid Canterbury - Horowhenua-Kapiti	40:27 ✺
15.08.25	Horowhenua-Kapiti - Buller	59:14 ✺
11.10.24	Horowhenua-Kapiti - West Coast	51:52 ✺
04.10.24	Thames Valley - Horowhenua-Kapiti	35:41 ✺
27.09.24	Horowhenua-Kapiti - Whanganui	28:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 LWLWL
- Poverty Bay Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
22.08.25	King Country - Poverty Bay	47:26 ✺
15.08.25	Poverty Bay - East Coast	18:8 ✺
04.10.24	Mid Canterbury - Poverty Bay	47:24
27.09.24	Poverty Bay - Thames Valley	17:71
20.09.24	Poverty Bay - King Country	15:49 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Heartland Championships
05.11.21	Poverty Bay - Horowhenua-Kapiti	34:33
27.09.19	Horowhenua-Kapiti - Poverty Bay	38:28
01.09.17	Poverty Bay - Horowhenua-Kapiti	5:39

Horowhenua-Kapiti - Poverty Bay: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide