Match Info

Heartland Championships - Round 1

Date: 15 August 2025, Friday


	Horowhenua-Kapiti		Buller

	1	X	2
	1.03	27	11.5
	1.02	31	11.7
	1.02	33	11.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.02 ↑ (1.01)	30.33 ↓ (55)	11.63 ↑ (11)

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-23)

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Horowhenua-Kapiti
89.2%

Draw
3%

Buller
7.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

90.1%

1.7%

8.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Horowhenua-Kapiti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Buller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

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Preview

In this match, Horowhenua-Kapiti is the obvious favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Horowhenua-Kapiti won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 79:89. (average 26.3:29.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Horowhenua-Kapiti won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 49:63. (average 24.5:31.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Horowhenua-Kapiti Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
11.10.24	Horowhenua-Kapiti - West Coast	51:52 ✺
04.10.24	Thames Valley - Horowhenua-Kapiti	35:41 ✺
27.09.24	Horowhenua-Kapiti - Whanganui	28:72 ✺
22.09.24	Horowhenua-Kapiti - South Canterbury	24:28
13.09.24	Wairarapa Bush - Horowhenua-Kapiti	45:62 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 LWLLW
- Buller Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
04.10.24	North Otago - Buller	55:14
27.09.24	Buller - Mid Canterbury	14:59
20.09.24	Thames Valley - Buller	84:14
13.09.24	Buller - Poverty Bay	36:28 ✺
06.09.24	Buller - West Coast	17:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Heartland Championships
13.09.19	Horowhenua-Kapiti - Buller	31:46
20.10.17	Horowhenua-Kapiti - Buller	18:17
13.10.17	Buller - Horowhenua-Kapiti	26:30

Horowhenua-Kapiti - Buller: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide