Match Info
Nations Championship - Round 2Date: 11 July 2026, SaturdayLocation: McDonald Jones Stadium (Newcastle)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
Africa | SuperSport Rugby |
Asia | Premier Sports Rugby Asia |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
Ireland | Virgin Media One, Virgin Media Player |
Italy | SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena |
New-zealand | Sky Sport 1 |
Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Romania | Digi Sport 2 |
Slovakia | Nova Sport 1, Voyo |
South-africa | SuperSport Rugby |
United-kingdom | ITV 1, ITV X, STV, STV Player, UTV, Virgin TV Go app |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Japan |
|
Ireland |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
10.00 |
|
1.02 |
|
 |
9 |
28 |
1.07 |
|
 |
8.15 |
30.77 |
1.1 |
Watch |
 |
6.29 |
34.79 |
1.07 |
|
 |
7.4 |
40 |
1.09 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
8.17 ↓ (10.08) |
26.71 ↓ (37.33) |
1.07 ↑ (1.06) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 62.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-20)
- The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Japan 11.2% | Draw 3.4% | Ireland 85.4% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Japan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Ireland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Japan - Ireland Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Japan (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -19.5 - Ireland (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Japan (votes: 1 - 50%). Ireland (votes: 1 - 50%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 21:41 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1. Okabe T.
| 1. O'Toole T.
|
2. Harada M.
| 2. Kelleher R.
|
3. Shuhei T.
| 3. Clarkson T.
|
4. Hockings H.
| 4. Beirne T.
|
5. Dearns W.
| 5. Ryan J.
|
6. Gunter B.
| 6. Conan J.
|
7. Shimokawa K.
| 7. Timoney N.
|
8. Cornelsen J.
| 8. Jansen S.
|
9. Saito N.
| 9. Casey C.
|
10. Ito R.
| 10. Frawley C.
|
11. Taira M.
| 11. Stockdale J.
|
12. Hirose Y.
| 12. McCloskey S.
|
13. Riley D.
| 13. Henshaw R.
|
14. Ueda K.
| 14. O'Brien J.
|
15. Matsunaga T.
| 15. Osborne J.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
16. Hayate E.
| 16. Stewart T.
|
17. Otsuka S.
| 17. Bohan B.
|
18. Tamefusa K.
| 18. Illo S.
|
19. Stolberg M.
| 19. Izuchukwu C.
|
20. Leitch M.
| 20. Ward B.
|
21. Costley T.
| 21. Doak N.
|
22. Kamimura I.
| 22. Byrne H.
|
23. Greene S.
| 23. Aki B.
|
| Coaches |
|---|
. Jones E.
| . Farrell A.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (13 - 19)
- 3', Taira M. (Try),
- 4', Matsunaga T. (Conversion Goal),
- 8', Timoney N. (Try),
- 9', Frawley C. (Conversion Goal),
- 17', Matsunaga T. (Penalty Goal),
- 20', O'Toole T. (Try),
- 21', Frawley C. (Missed Conversion),
- 27', Matsunaga T. (Penalty Goal),
- 31', Hirose Y. ↓, Costley T. ↑,
- 34', Henshaw R. (Try),
- 34', Frawley C. (Conversion Goal),
- 40', Riley D. ↓, Greene S. ↑,
- 2nd Half (7 - 17)
- 47', McCloskey S. ↓, Aki B. ↑,
- 47', Harada M. ↓, Hayate E. ↑,
- 47', Clarkson T. ↓, Illo S. ↑,
- 50', Jansen S. (Try),
- 50', Frawley C. (Conversion Goal),
- 51', Shimokawa K. ↓, Leitch M. ↑,
- 52', Hockings H. ↓, Stolberg M. ↑,
- 53', Shuhei T. ↓, Tamefusa K. ↑,
- 53', Okabe T. ↓, Otsuka S. ↑,
- 54', O'Toole T. ↓, Bohan B. ↑,
- 58', Hayate E. (Try),
- 59', Matsunaga T. (Conversion Goal),
- 59', Stockdale J. ↓, Byrne H. ↑,
- 59', Kelleher R. ↓, Stewart T. ↑,
- 61', Jansen S. ↓, Ward B. ↑,
- 61', Conan J. ↓, Izuchukwu C. ↑,
- 70', Casey C. ↓, Doak N. ↑,
- 71', Byrne H. (Penalty Goal),
- 72', Saito N. ↓, Kamimura I. ↑,
- 77', Hayate E. 🟨,
- 79', Okabe T. ↓, Harada M. ↑,
- 79', Stewart T. (Try),
- 80', Byrne H. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
Neutral location - McDonald Jones Stadium.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Japan won 1. In this match, Ireland is the clear favorite.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Japan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 100:237. (average 16.7:39.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;