Match Info

League One - Relegation - Play Offs - Final

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Hanazono Rugby Stadium (Higashiosaka)


	Kintetsu Liners		Honda Heat

	1	X	2
	2	19	1.8
	2.28	24	1.69
	2	23	1.8
	2.28	24	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.04)	22.5 ↑ (19)	1.75 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 52.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kintetsu Liners
43.1%

Draw
4.1%

Honda Heat
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

4.8%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kintetsu Liners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Honda Heat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Kintetsu Liners - Honda Heat Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:27

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Okamoto S.	1. Tsurukawa T.
2. Matsuda K.	2. Hida K.
3. Tangimana L.	3. Hoshino K.
4. Jeffries S.	4. Abbott M.
5. Waqa S.	5. Mostert F.
6. Brown M.	6. Kobayashi R.
7. Sugawara T.	7. Furuta R.
8. Miyashita D.	8. Matera P. (C)
9. Genia W. (C)	9. Doei A.
10. Cooper Q.	10. Gwante O.
11. Kataoka R.	11. Sulunga L.
12. Okamura K.	12. Okano K.
13. Hendrickson T.	13. Kellerman D.
14. Kimura T.	14. Lava L. L.
15. Kumoyama H.	15. Banks T.
Substitutes
16. Kaneko K.	16. Yamada I.
17. Tanaka K.	17. Fujii T.
18. Mitake K.	18. Hirano K.
19. Nonaka S.	19. Swanepoel J.
20. Seru J.	20. Tupou T.
21. Hitora K.	21. Takenaka T.
22. Maruyama R.	22. Gunji K.
23. Sufia T. F.	23. Li T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (15 - 7)
6', Matsuda K. (Try),
11', Mostert F. (Try),
12', Gwante O. (Conversion Goal),
17', Cooper Q. (Penalty Goal),
34', Kataoka R. (Try),
34', Cooper Q. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (10 - 22)
50', Lava L. L. (Try),
65', Kimura T. (Try),
66', Cooper Q. (Conversion Goal),
67', Banks T. (Try),
72', Cooper Q. (Penalty Goal),
75', Gunji K. (Try),
80+3', Gwante O. (Try),
80+3', Sulunga L. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

1st leg.

Honda Heat is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Kintetsu Liners may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kintetsu Liners won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:20.

Including home match between the teams, Kintetsu Liners won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:20.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kintetsu Liners
Japan League One Rugby Union
24.05.24	Kintetsu Liners - Urayasu D-Rocks	30:35 ✺
17.05.24	Urayasu D-Rocks - Kintetsu Liners	21:12 ✺
04.05.24	Kintetsu Liners - Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars	36:46 ✺
27.04.24	Panasonic Wild Knights - Kintetsu Liners	33:17 ✺
21.04.24	Kintetsu Liners - Ricoh Black Rams	34:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLLLW
- Honda Heat
Japan League One Rugby Union
11.05.25	Ricoh Black Rams - Honda Heat	67:22 ✺
03.05.25	Honda Heat - Toyota Verblitz	30:38 ✺
25.04.25	Kubota Spears - Honda Heat	39:20 ✺
11.04.25	Honda Heat - Panasonic Wild Knights	33:53 ✺
05.04.25	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Honda Heat	60:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan League One Rugby Union
16.03.24	Kintetsu Liners - Honda Heat	19:20

Kintetsu Liners - Honda Heat: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide