Match Info

Premiership Rugby - Round 3

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday

Location: Welford Road (Leicester)

Referee: Dickson K. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Slovakia	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate


	Leicester Tigers		Gloucester

	1	X	2
	1.53	21	2.63
	1.49	23	2.65
	1.52	19.83	2.67	Watch
	1.47	22	2.55
	1.51	21	2.8	Watch
	1.49	23	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.27)	21.64 ↑ (20.79)	2.66 ↓ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leicester Tigers
61.2%

Draw
4.2%

Gloucester
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.6%

4.4%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leicester Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leicester Tigers's form might have worsened.

Gloucester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gloucester's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Leicester Tigers - Gloucester Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 58.5 - under (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:27

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leicester Tigers won 3.

Bookmakers give the edge to Leicester Tigers for this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Leicester Tigers has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 557:430 (averaging 27.9:21.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Leicester Tigers against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 300:181 goals (averaging 30:18.1 per game).

Outrights of English Premiership Rugby for now

Leicester Tigers: 8.12% Gloucester: 4.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	Gloucester	2	2	0	0	93:24	10
5	Leicester Tigers	2	1	0	1	62:59	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leicester Tigers
English Premiership Rugby
03.10.26	Newcastle Red Bulls - Leicester Tigers	19:24 ✺
27.09.26	Leicester Tigers - Saracens	38:40 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
12.09.26	Leicester Tigers - Newcastle Red Bulls	24:36 ✺
05.09.26	Harlequins - Leicester Tigers	45:21 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
12.06.26	Northampton Saints - Leicester Tigers	45:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 WLLLL
- Gloucester Rugby
English Premiership Rugby
03.10.26	Gloucester - Harlequins	48:0 ✺
26.09.26	Exeter Chiefs - Gloucester	24:45 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
12.09.26	Gloucester - Sale Sharks	43:26 ✺
05.09.26	Bristol Rugby - Gloucester	43:40 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
06.06.26	Gloucester - Newcastle Red Bulls	54:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Premiership Rugby
28.03.26	Gloucester - Leicester Tigers	17:36
19.12.25	Leicester Tigers - Gloucester	45:14
25.01.25	Gloucester - Leicester Tigers	38:31
20.10.24	Leicester Tigers - Gloucester	29:26
22.03.24	Leicester Tigers - Gloucester	25:27
English Premiership Rugby Cup
15.03.24	Gloucester - Leicester Tigers	23:13
English Premiership Rugby
25.11.23	Gloucester - Leicester Tigers	20:38

Leicester Tigers - Gloucester: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide