Match Info
United Rugby Championship - Play Offs - Quarter-finalsDate: 30 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: Aviva Stadium (Dublin)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Africa | SuperSport Rugby |
 Ireland | TG4 app Ireland, TG4 Ireland |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
 South-africa | SuperSport Rugby |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, URC |
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Leinster |
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Lions |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.08 |
34 |
7.5 |
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 |
1.08 |
35 |
7.2 |
|
 |
1.09 |
29.46 |
7.83 |
 Watch |
 |
1.09 |
34 |
7.5 |
|
 |
1.14 |
26 |
6.09 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.1 ↓
(1.11) |
31.69 ↑
(31) |
7.22 ↑
(6.53) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 54.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-18)
- The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Leinster
84.3% | Draw
2.9% | Lions
12.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leinster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Leinster - Lions Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 36:18 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (21 - 5)
- 2nd Half (38 - 5)
Preview
In recent matches, Leinster has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Leinster may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Leinster has had a series of home games. In this match, Leinster is the clear favorite.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leinster won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 127:106. (average 25.4:21.2).Including home matches between the teams, Leinster won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 76:26. (average 25.3:8.7).
Outrights of United Rugby Championship for now
Leinster: 29.05%
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
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| 3 | Lions | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 62:45 | 9 |
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| 13 | Leinster | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 46:53 | 3 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| United Rugby Championship | | | 09.05.26 | Leinster - Lions | 31:7 | | 26.10.24 | Leinster - Lions | 24:6 | | 20.04.24 | Lions - Leinster | 44:12 | | 15.04.23 | Lions - Leinster | 36:39 | | 25.02.22 | Leinster - Lions | 21:13 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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