Match Info

EUROPE: CHALLENGE CUP - ROUND 1

Date: 9 December 2022, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports Max


	Perpignan		Bristol Rugby

	1	X	2
	3.75	23	1.29
	3.2	23	1.33
	3.65	26	1.29
	3.7	25	1.3
	3.4	21	1.33
	3.58	29	1.31	Watch
	3.65	24	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (2.84)	24.43 ↑ (22.17)	1.31 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 48.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Perpignan
25.8%

Draw
3.8%

Bristol Rugby
70.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

4.1%

63.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

3.8%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perpignan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Perpignan's form might have worsened.

Bristol Rugby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bristol Rugby's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perpignan than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Perpignan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rugby than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bristol Rugby, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Perpignan - Bristol Rugby Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:28

#ad

Preview

Recent matches Perpignan is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bristol has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Bristol is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USA Perpignan
French Top 14
03.12.22	Toulouse - Perpignan	34:13 ✺
26.11.22	Perpignan - Bordeaux Bègles	23:20 ✺
05.11.22	Racing Métro - Perpignan	42:20 ✺
29.10.22	Perpignan - Lyon	28:21 ✺
22.10.22	Aviron Bayonnais - Perpignan	24:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLWL
- Bristol Rugby
English Premiership Rugby
03.12.22	Bristol Rugby - Leicester Tigers	26:26 ✺
26.11.22	Sale Sharks - Bristol Rugby	25:20 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
19.11.22	Gloucester - Bristol Rugby	38:31 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
05.11.22	Bristol Rugby - Saracens	10:25 ✺
29.10.22	Northampton Saints - Bristol Rugby	45:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL

Upcoming Matches