Match Info

ENGLAND: PREMIERSHIP RUGBY - ROUND 13

Date: 23 December 2022, Friday

Location: Brentford Community Stadium (London)

Referee: Carley M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Canada	Sportsnet
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	London Irish		Saracens

	1	X	2
	3.5	23	1.33
	2.88	23	1.4
	3.25	26	1.34
	3.2	26	1.37
	3.25	19	1.36
	3.14	28	1.39	Watch
	3.15	26	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↓ (3.52)	24.43 ↑ (23.2)	1.36 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 53.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

London Irish
28.8%

Draw
3.8%

Saracens
67.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

70%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

4.2%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

London Irish has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Saracens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for London Irish than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saracens than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

London Irish - Saracens Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:31

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership Rugby (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches London Irish won 3.

London Irish is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Saracens is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Saracens is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches London Irish won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 356-525.

Including matches at home between the teams London Irish won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 184-261.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- London Irish
European Rugby Champions Cup
17.12.22	Stormers - London Irish	34:14 ✺
09.12.22	London Irish - Montpellier	27:32 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
03.12.22	London Irish - Newcastle Red Bulls	39:17 ✺
27.11.22	Leicester Tigers - London Irish	33:31 ✺
12.11.22	Exeter Chiefs - London Irish	22:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL
- Saracens FC
European Rugby Champions Cup
17.12.22	Lyon - Saracens	20:28 ✺
11.12.22	Saracens - Edinburgh	30:26 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
19.11.22	Saracens - Leicester Tigers	8:45 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
13.11.22	Saracens - Northampton Saints	45:39 ✺
05.11.22	Bristol Rugby - Saracens	10:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premiership Rugby Cup
17.10.22	Saracens - London Irish	26:43
English Premiership Rugby
19.02.22	London Irish - Saracens	32:30
Challenge Cup Rugby
23.01.22	Saracens - London Irish	45:24
English Premiership Rugby Cup
19.11.21	London Irish - Saracens	29:20
English Premiership Rugby
06.11.21	Saracens - London Irish	34:34
31.08.20	London Irish - Saracens	12:40
02.11.19	Saracens - London Irish	16:13

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