Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN RUGBY CHAMPIONS CUP - ROUND 1

Date: 9 December 2022, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Brentford Community Stadium (London) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	beIN Sports
Netherlands	21:00	Viaplay
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV
Romania	22:00	Digi Sport 2
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
United Kingdom	20:00	BT Sport


	London Irish		Montpellier

	1	X	2
	2.6	21	1.53
	2.4	21	1.6
	2.35	23	1.62
	2.5	22	1.57
	2.7	19	1.5
	2.26	25	1.69
	2.5	22	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.25)	21.86 ↑ (21)	1.58 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 48.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

London Irish
37.4%

Draw
4.2%

Montpellier
58.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.7%

4.4%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

4.4%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

London Irish has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for London Irish than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

London Irish - Montpellier Predictions

Users Predictions: Montpellier will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:26

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Preview

London Irish is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Montpellier is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Montpellier will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- London Irish
English Premiership Rugby
03.12.22	London Irish - Newcastle Red Bulls	39:17 ✺
27.11.22	Leicester Tigers - London Irish	33:31 ✺
12.11.22	Exeter Chiefs - London Irish	22:17 ✺
29.10.22	Harlequins - London Irish	26:24 ✺
21.10.22	London Irish - Gloucester	21:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLLLL
- Montpellier Hérault RC
French Top 14
03.12.22	Clermont - Montpellier	19:14 ✺
26.11.22	Montpellier - Aviron Bayonnais	35:14 ✺
06.11.22	Toulon - Montpellier	16:26 ✺
29.10.22	Montpellier - Stade Français	23:19 ✺
22.10.22	Racing Métro - Montpellier	38:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montpellier Hérault RC
French Top 14
31.10.26	Montpellier - Castres	✺

London Irish - Montpellier