Match Info
Challenge Cup - Round 4Date: 18 January 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, France 3 |
 United-kingdom | FloSports app |
 World | EPCR Rugby TV |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Lyon |
|
Benetton Treviso |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.53 |
21 |
2.6 |
|
 |
1.43 |
60 |
2.7 |
|
 |
1.48 |
24.95 |
2.77 |
|
 |
1.5 |
26 |
2.63 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↑
(1.24) |
32.99 ↑
(25.35) |
2.68 ↓
(4.27) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 58.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
- The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Lyon
62.5% | Draw
2.8% | Benetton Treviso
34.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lyon's form might have worsened.Benetton Treviso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Benetton Treviso's recent form is better than expected.Lyon - Benetton Treviso Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Lyon will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Benetton will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benetton: 64.6% โ 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +9.5 - Benetton (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Benetton Treviso will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Benetton (votes: 6 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:26 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1.  Rey J.
| 1.  Spagnolo M.
|
2. Marchand G.
| 2.  Maile S.
|
3.  Aptsiauri I.
| 3. Ferrari S.
|
4. William T.
| 4. Cannone N.
|
5.  Roux J.
| 5. Favretto R.
|
6. Cretin D.
| 6. Izekor A.
|
7.  Allen L.
| 7. Lamaro M.
|
8. Shvangiradze B.
| 8. Cannone L.
|
9. Couilloud B. (C)
| 9.  Uren A. (C)
|
10.  Jackson P.
| 10.  Umaga J.
|
11.  Wainiqolo J.
| 11. Ratave O.
|
12. Millet T.
| 12. Fekitoa M.
|
13. Parisien A.
| 13. Menoncello T.
|
14. Mathiron A.
| 14. Lynagh L.
|
15. Tchaptchet A.
| 15. Smith R.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
16. Chat C.
| 16.  Bernasconi B.
|
17. Kaabeche H.
| 17. Chaparro N.
|
18. Gomes Sa C.
| 18. Zilocchi G.
|
19. Guillard M.
| 19. Snyman E.
|
20. Okuya M.
| 20. Fa'aso'o S.
|
21. Cassang C.
| 21. Marini G.
|
22. Meliande M.
| 22. Garbisi A.
|
23. Masi I.
| 23. Marin L.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (14 - 31)
- 4', Parisien A. (Try),
- 5', Jackson P. (Conversion Goal),
- 8', Parisien A. (Try),
- 9', Jackson P. (Conversion Goal),
- 11', Smith R. (Penalty Goal),
- 21', Maile S. (Try),
- 22', Smith R. (Conversion Goal),
- 30', Fekitoa M. (Try),
- 31', Smith R. (Conversion Goal),
- 36', Ratave O. (Try),
- 37', Smith R. (Conversion Goal),
- 40', Maile S. (Try),
- 40', Smith R. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (5 - 7)
- 49', Marchand G. ↓, Guillard M. ↑,
- 58', Cretin D. (Try),
- 62', Spagnolo M. (Try),
- 63', Smith R. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
Lyon is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).Benetton is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).Recently, Benetton has had a series of home games. In this match, Lyon is seen as the favorite.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 75:35. (average 25:11.7).Including home matches between the teams, Lyon won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 53:10. (average 26.5:5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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