Match Info
Super Rugby - Round 12Date: 2 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: North Harbour Stadium (Auckland)Referee: Berry N. (Aus)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Moana Pasifika |
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Blues |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
15 |
51 |
1.01 |
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 |
12 |
50 |
1.01 |
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 |
16.42 |
36.04 |
1.01 |
Watch |
 |
11 |
41 |
1.03 |
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 |
15 |
23 |
1.03 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
13.88 ↑ (13.08) |
40.21 ↓ (45.26) |
1.02 ↓ (1.02) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 63.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-29)
- The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Moana Pasifika 6.7% | Draw 2.3% | Blues 91% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Moana Pasifika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Blues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Moana Pasifika - Blues Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Blues will win (votes: 2 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 18:47 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1. Hala M.
| 1. Ake B.
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2. Sanerivi M.
| 2. Eklund K.
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3. Moli A.
| 3. Renata M.
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4. Craig A.
| 4. Tuipulotu P.
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5. Tupou J.
| 5. Darry S.
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6. Faiilagi M.
| 6. Barnes T.
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7. Paea S.
| 7. Segner A.
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8. Tupou Ta'eiloa S.
| 8. Sotutu H.
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9. Taumateine J.
| 9. Nock S.
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10. Havili W.
| 10. Perofeta S.
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11. Tuitama T.
| 11. Clarke C.
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12. Ofa T.
| 12. Ahki P.
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13. Alaimalo S.
| 13. Taele X.
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14. Leota I.
| 14. Banks K.
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15. Vaihu G.
| 15. Sullivan Z.
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| Substitutes |
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16. Harada M.
| 16. Mullan J.
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17. Pole A.
| 17. Tupaea M.
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18. Apoua C.
| 18. Yates F.
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19. Poloniati V.
| 19. Beehre J.
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20. Ropeti D.
| 20. Peita T.
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21. Pulu A.
| 21. Christie F.
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22. Garden-Bachop J.
| 22. Barrett B.
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23. Pulini T.
| 23. Lam A.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Umaga T.
| . Cotter V.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (12 - 14)
- 14', Sanerivi M. (Try),
- 15', Havili W. (Missed Conversion),
- 24', Renata M. (Try),
- 25', Perofeta S. (Conversion Goal),
- 34', Sanerivi M. (Try),
- 35', Havili W. (Conversion Goal),
- 38', Ake B. ↓, Tupaea M. ↑,
- 39', Banks K. (Try),
- 40', Perofeta S. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (7 - 31)
- 41', Tuipulotu P. (Try),
- 42', Perofeta S. (Conversion Goal),
- 46', Eklund K. ↓, Mullan J. ↑,
- 46', Renata M. ↓, Yates F. ↑,
- 46', Moli A. ↓, Apoua C. ↑,
- 48', Mullan J. (Try),
- 49', Perofeta S. (Conversion Goal),
- 52', Alaimalo S. ↓, Peni F. ↑,
- 52', Hala M. ↓, Pole A. ↑,
- 53', Tupou J. ↓, Poloniati V. ↑,
- 57', Ahki P. ↓, Lam A. ↑,
- 58', Perofeta S. (Try),
- 59', Perofeta S. (Missed Conversion),
- 61', Pulu A. ↓, Nginingini S. ↑,
- 61', Paea S. ↓, Ropeti D. ↑,
- 64', Tuitama T. ↓, Garden-Bachop J. ↑,
- 65', Perofeta S. ↓, Barrett B. ↑,
- 65', Barnes T. ↓, Peita T. ↑,
- 68', Barrett B. (Try),
- 69', Barrett B. (Missed Conversion),
- 69', Darry S. ↓, McWhannell L. ↑,
- 69', Sanerivi M. ↓, Harada M. ↑,
- 71', Nock S. ↓, Christie F. ↑,
- 72', Apoua C. (Try),
- 73', Havili W. (Conversion Goal),
- 78', Peita T. (Try),
- 79', Barrett B. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moana Pasifika won 1.Moana Pasifika has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).Blues is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4). In this match, Blues is the undeniable favorite.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Moana Pasifika won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 124:256. (average 17.7:36.6).Including home matches between the teams, Moana Pasifika won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 54:100. (average 18:33.3).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Super Rugby | | | 14.03.26 | Blues - Moana Pasifika | 43:7 | | 17.05.25 | Moana Pasifika - Blues | 27:21 | | 12.04.25 | Blues - Moana Pasifika | 36:17 | | 29.03.24 | Moana Pasifika - Blues | 8:47 | | 06.05.23 | Blues - Moana Pasifika | 31:30 | | 02.04.22 | Blues - Moana Pasifika | 46:16 | | 29.03.22 | Moana Pasifika - Blues | 19:32 |
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