Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 18

Date: 16 May 2025, Friday

Location: Thomond Park (Limerick)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby
Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Ireland	TG4 app Ireland, TG4 Ireland
Mexico	Disney+
Nigeria	SuperSport Rugby
Peru	Disney+
South-africa	SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby
United-kingdom	FloSports app, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby, URC
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Munster		Benetton Treviso

	1	X	2
	1.2	34	4.5
	1.2	26	4.5
	1.21	29	4.8
	1.2	29.11	4.75	Watch
	1.2	29	4.5
	1.18	23	5.03
	1.21	29	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↑ (1.15)	28.44 ↓ (30)	4.7 ↓ (5.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 52.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Munster
77.1%

Draw
3.3%

Benetton Treviso
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

80.5%

3.1%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Munster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Benetton Treviso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Munster - Benetton Treviso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:20

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Milne M.	1. Gallo T.
2. Scannell N.	2. Maile S.
3. Archer S.	3. Ferrari S.
4. Kleyn J.	4. Scrafton S.
5. Beirne T.	5. Ruzza F.
6. O'Mahony P.	6. Favretto R.
7. Hodnett J.	7. Zuliani M.
8. Coombes G.	8. Cannone L.
9. Casey C.	9. Garbisi A.
10. Crowley J.	10. Umaga J.
11. Kilgallen D.	11. Odogwu P.
12. Nankivell A.	12. Brex N.
13. Farrell T.	13. Menoncello T.
14. Nash C.	14. Mendy I.
15. Abrahams T.	15. Smith R.
Substitutes
16. Barron D.	16. Bernasconi B.
17. Wycherley J.	17. Spagnolo M.
18. Ryan J.	18. Pasquali T.
19. Wycherley F.	19. Cannone N.
20. Ahern T.	20. Negri S.
21. Murray C.	21. Fekitoa M.
22. O'Brien S.	22. Albornoz T.
23. Kendellen A.	23. Casilio N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (10 - 14)
13', Crowley J. (Try),
14', Crowley J. (Conversion Goal),
18', Smith R. (Try),
19', Umaga J. (Conversion Goal),
20', Crowley J. (Penalty Goal),
27', Smith R. (Try),
28', Umaga J. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (20 - 7)
43', Barron L. (Try),
48', Abrahams T. (Try),
49', Casey C. (Conversion Goal),
56', Casey C. (Penalty Goal),
68', Bernasconi B. (Try),
69', Umaga J. (Conversion Goal),
73', Wycherley J. (Try),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Munster won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Munster is considered a favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Munster won 16 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 507:292. (average 26.7:15.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Munster won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 271:100. (average 30.1:11.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Munster Rugby
United Rugby Championship
09.05.25	Munster - Ulster	38:20 ✺
25.04.25	Cardiff Rugby - Munster	26:21 ✺
19.04.25	Munster - Blue Bulls	13:16 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
12.04.25	Bordeaux Bègles - Munster	47:29 ✺
05.04.25	La Rochelle - Munster	24:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLLW
- Benetton Treviso rugby
United Rugby Championship
10.05.25	Benetton Treviso - Glasgow Warriors	33:7 ✺
26.04.25	Stormers - Benetton Treviso	56:5 ✺
19.04.25	Lions - Benetton Treviso	31:42 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
05.04.25	Castres - Benetton Treviso	39:37 ✺
United Rugby Championship
29.03.25	Benetton Treviso - Cardiff Rugby	20:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
29.10.23	Benetton Treviso - Munster	13:13
28.01.23	Benetton Treviso - Munster	30:40
25.03.22	Munster - Benetton Treviso	51:22
19.03.21	Munster - Benetton Treviso	31:17
30.01.21	Benetton Treviso - Munster	16:18
04.05.19	Munster - Benetton Treviso	15:13
12.04.19	Benetton Treviso - Munster	28:37

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