Match Info

Challenge Cup - Round 1

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports 2
United-kingdom	FloSports app
International	EPCR Rugby TV


	Castres		Benetton Treviso

	1	X	2
	1.73	21	2.2
	1.62	23	2.33
	1.59	21	2.25
	1.63	23	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.44)	22 ↑ (21.33)	2.29 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castres
55.8%

Draw
4.2%

Benetton Treviso
40.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63%

4.3%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castres's form might have worsened.

Benetton Treviso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Benetton Treviso's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Castres - Benetton Treviso Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Castres will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Castres (1.67) (votes: 92%) ⭐ Best Value.

AH -2.5 - Castres (1.91) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:26

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sokobale A.	1. Medrano M.
2. Zarantonello L.	2. Bernasconi B.
3. Gurtskaia M.	3. Ferrari S.
4. Maravat G.	4. Cannone N.
5. Gabriel F.	5. Ruzza F.
6. Babillot M. (C)	6. Walker-Leawere I.
7. Meka S.	7. Marini G.
8. Ramototabua V.	8. Lamaro M. (C)
9. Dupuy C.	9. Garbisi A.
10. Le Brun L.	10. Umaga J.
11. Baget R.	11. Zanandrea F.
12. Botitu V.	12. Marin L.
13. Gontineac T.	13. Mey F.
14. Vargas A.	14. Lynagh L.
15. Palis G.	15. Gallagher M.
Substitutes
16. Colonna P.	16. Gasperini N.
17. Galisson L.	17. Nemer I.
18. Turpin M.	18. Zilocchi G.
19. Staniforth T.	19. Midena M.
20. Ringuet K.	20. Miranda A.
21. Cope B.	21. Uren A.
22. Doubrere G.	22. Smith R.
23. Guilhot L.	23. Ratave O.

Preview

Castres is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Castres is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Castres has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 39:37.

Specifically in home fixtures for Castres against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 39:37 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Castres Olympique
French Top 14
10.10.26	Section Paloise - Castres	35:26 ✺
03.10.26	Castres - Toulouse	7:8 ✺
26.09.26	Clermont - Castres	20:6 ✺
19.09.26	Castres - Toulon	29:27 ✺
12.09.26	Perpignan - Castres	43:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLWL
- Benetton Treviso rugby
United Rugby Championship
10.10.26	Llanelli Scarlets - Benetton Treviso	27:26 ✺
02.10.26	Benetton Treviso - Connacht	19:22 ✺
25.09.26	Benetton Treviso - Newport Gwent Dragons	19:19 ✺
16.05.26	Blue Bulls - Benetton Treviso	45:19 ✺
09.05.26	Sharks - Benetton Treviso	46:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

European Rugby Champions Cup
05.04.25	Castres - Benetton Treviso	39:37

Castres - Benetton Treviso: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide