Match Info

Challenge Cup - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6
United-kingdom	FloSports app
World	EPCR Rugby TV


	Benetton Treviso		Cardiff Rugby

	1	X	2
	1.14	34	5.5
	1.14	35	5.4
	1.01	31.09	16.04	Watch
	1.17	29	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.12 ↓ (1.3)	32.27 ↑ (21.33)	7.99 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 47.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benetton Treviso
85.2%

Draw
2.9%

Cardiff Rugby
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.3%

4.3%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benetton Treviso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benetton Treviso's performance.

Cardiff Rugby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cardiff Rugby might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Benetton Treviso - Cardiff Rugby Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Benetton will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:19

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gallo T.	1. Byrne E.
2. Bernasconi B.	2. Belcher L. (C)
3. Zilocchi G.	3. Assiratti K.
4. Cannone N.	4. Rees E.
5. Ruzza F.	5. Thornton R.
6. Zuliani M.	6. Mann A.
7. Lamaro M. (C)	7. Thomas D.
8. Cannone L.	8. Lawrence A.
9. Uren A.	9. Bevan E.
10. Umaga J.	10. Sheedy C.
11. Mendy I.	11. Beetham J.
12. Marin L.	12. Thomas B.
13. Menoncello T.	13. Evans E.
14. Ratave O.	14. Grady M.
15. Smith R.	15. Lloyd I.
Substitutes
16. Maile S.	16. Hughes D.
17. Aminu D.	17. Barratt R.
18. Pasquali T.	18. Wainwright S.
19. Favretto R.	19. De La Rua L.
20. Fa'aso'o S.	20. Lloyd E.
21. Izekor A.	21. Davies I.
22. Garbisi A.	22. Jennings R.
23. Odogwu P.	23. Winnett C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (33 - 21)
1', Menoncello T. (Try),
1', Umaga J. (Conversion Goal),
3', Umaga J. (Try),
4', Umaga J. (Conversion Goal),
9', Belcher L. (Try),
10', Sheedy C. (Conversion Goal),
13', Gallo T. (Try),
13', Umaga J. (Conversion Goal),
14', Umaga J. (Try),
15', Umaga J. (Conversion Goal),
22', Beetham J. (Try),
23', Sheedy C. (Conversion Goal),
29', Ratave O. (Try),
40', Lawrence A. (Try),
40+1', Sheedy C. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (5 - 14)
42', Menoncello T. (Try),
45', Bevan E. (Try),
46', Sheedy C. (Conversion Goal),
46', Umaga J. 🟨,
54', Beetham J. (Try),
55', Sheedy C. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benetton won 3.

Benetton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Benetton is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Benetton won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 456:561. (average 22.8:28.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Benetton won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 292:239. (average 29.2:23.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benetton Treviso rugby
United Rugby Championship
27.03.26	Glasgow Warriors - Benetton Treviso	31:10 ✺
21.03.26	Benetton Treviso - Ospreys	31:19 ✺
28.02.26	Newport Gwent Dragons - Benetton Treviso	15:15 ✺
30.01.26	Benetton Treviso - Llanelli Scarlets	20:20 ✺
24.01.26	Cardiff Rugby - Benetton Treviso	17:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWTTL
- Cardiff Rugby
United Rugby Championship
27.03.26	Sharks - Cardiff Rugby	21:15 ✺
20.03.26	Blue Bulls - Cardiff Rugby	40:7 ✺
27.02.26	Cardiff Rugby - Leinster	8:7 ✺
31.01.26	Ulster - Cardiff Rugby	21:14 ✺
24.01.26	Cardiff Rugby - Benetton Treviso	17:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
24.01.26	Cardiff Rugby - Benetton Treviso	17:8
29.03.25	Benetton Treviso - Cardiff Rugby	20:19
21.10.23	Cardiff Rugby - Benetton Treviso	22:23
Challenge Cup Rugby
08.04.23	Benetton Treviso - Cardiff Rugby	27:23
United Rugby Championship
18.02.23	Cardiff Rugby - Benetton Treviso	30:13
20.05.22	Benetton Treviso - Cardiff Rugby	69:21
14.03.21	Benetton Treviso - Cardiff Rugby	14:29

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