Match Info

Friendly International

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Eden Park (Auckland)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Australia	9Gem, Stan Sport
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	New Zealand		Australia

	1	X	2
	1.24	34	4
	1.2	30	4.5
	1.2	23	4.33	Watch
	1.18	27	4.15
	1.21	23	4.54
	1.2	30	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↑ (1.14)	27.83 ↑ (26)	4.34 ↓ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New Zealand
75.7%

Draw
3.3%

Australia
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.6%

3.4%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New Zealand has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Australia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

New Zealand - Australia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 35:23

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 5.

New Zealand has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Australia may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to New Zealand for this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, New Zealand has recorded 16 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 640:356 (averaging 32:17.8 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New Zealand rugby
Friendly International Rugby Union
12.09.26	South Africa - New Zealand	43:28 ✺
05.09.26	South Africa - New Zealand	29:24 ✺
29.08.26	South Africa - New Zealand	33:26 ✺
25.08.26	Lions - New Zealand	35:41 ✺
22.08.26	South Africa - New Zealand	16:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLLWW
- Australia rugby
Friendly International Rugby Union
27.09.26	Australia - South Africa	42:38 ✺
05.09.26	Argentina - Australia	28:28 ✺
29.08.26	Argentina - Australia	21:27 ✺
15.08.26	Australia - Japan	56:17 ✺
08.08.26	Japan - Australia	32:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Rugby Championship
04.10.25	Australia - New Zealand	14:28
27.09.25	New Zealand - Australia	33:24
28.09.24	New Zealand - Australia	33:13
21.09.24	Australia - New Zealand	28:31
Friendly International Rugby Union
04.08.23	New Zealand - Australia	23:20
Rugby Championship
29.07.23	Australia - New Zealand	7:38
24.09.22	New Zealand - Australia	40:14

New Zealand - Australia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide