Match Info
United Rugby Championship - Round 12Date: 28 February 2026, SaturdayLocation: Rodney Parade (Newport)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
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Newport Gwent Dragons |
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Benetton Treviso |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.57 |
19 |
2.5 |
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 |
1.62 |
21 |
2.35 |
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1.64 |
20.32 |
2.39 |
 Watch |
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1.62 |
21 |
2.38 |
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1.64 |
19 |
2.4 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↓
(2.17) |
20.06 ↓
(20.12) |
2.4 ↑
(1.77) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 46.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
- The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Newport Gwent Dragons
57% | Draw
4.6% | Benetton Treviso
38.4% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Newport Gwent Dragons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newport Gwent Dragons's performance.Benetton Treviso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Benetton Treviso might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport Gwent Dragons than the current prediction. (-11.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newport Gwent Dragons that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benetton Treviso than the current prediction. (+10.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Benetton Treviso could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Newport Gwent Dragons - Benetton Treviso Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:22 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (7 - 10)
- 2nd Half (8 - 5)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dragons won 0.Both teams have been playing unpredictably. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.We predict that Dragons will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dragons won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 13 matches, and goals 399:554. (average 20:27.7).Including home matches between the teams, Dragons won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 189:174. (average 21:19.3).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
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| 8 | Dragons | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 88:83 | 9 |
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| 15 | Benetton | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 64:68 | 5 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Challenge Cup Rugby | | | 10.01.26 | Benetton Treviso - Newport Gwent Dragons | 74:21 | | United Rugby Championship | | | 19.10.24 | Newport Gwent Dragons - Benetton Treviso | 21:31 | | 20.04.24 | Benetton Treviso - Newport Gwent Dragons | 36:19 | | 09.10.22 | Benetton Treviso - Newport Gwent Dragons | 34:14 | | 28.01.22 | Newport Gwent Dragons - Benetton Treviso | 13:13 | | Challenge Cup Rugby | | | 15.01.22 | Benetton Treviso - Newport Gwent Dragons | 23:9 | | United Rugby Championship | | | 29.11.20 | Benetton Treviso - Newport Gwent Dragons | 19:26 |
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