Match Info

Pro D2 - Round 30

Date: 16 May 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Canal+ Live 6


	Nissa		US Dax

	1	X	2
	1.5	21	2.7
	1.61	24	2.45
	1.66	22.42	2.34
	1.59	17	2.42
	1.61	24	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.86)	21.68 ↑ (21)	2.47 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 53.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nissa
58.2%

Draw
4.3%

US Dax
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

4.4%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

4.5%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nissa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nissa's performance.

US Dax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and US Dax might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nissa than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nissa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for US Dax than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that US Dax could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nissa - US Dax Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:25

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (19 - 13)
10', Idoumi S. (Try),
11', Asquini F. (Conversion Goal),
22', Nacika R. (Try),
22', Seguy R. (Conversion Goal),
26', Seguy R. (Penalty Goal),
31', Idoumi S. (Try),
37', Taufua J. (Try),
38', Asquini F. (Conversion Goal),
40', Seguy R. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (17 - 6)
44', Seguy R. (Penalty Goal),
61', Cerisier H. (Penalty Goal),
62', Odiete D. (Try),
62', Auradou P. (Conversion Goal),
68', Asquini F. (Penalty Goal),
69', Asquini F. (Try),
71', Asquini F. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Stade Niçois won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:22.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nissa Rugby
French Pro D2
09.05.25	Colomiers - Nissa	46:19 ✺
25.04.25	Nissa - Provence Rugby	13:12 ✺
18.04.25	FC Grenoble - Nissa	47:17 ✺
11.04.25	Nissa - Biarritz	42:41 ✺
04.04.25	SA XV Charente - Nissa	45:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWLWL
- US Dax
French Pro D2
09.05.25	US Dax - Agen	10:9 ✺
25.04.25	Mont-De-Marsan - US Dax	34:18 ✺
18.04.25	US Dax - Stade Aurillacois	26:21 ✺
11.04.25	Montauban - US Dax	35:23 ✺
04.04.25	Provence Rugby - US Dax	57:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
01.11.24	US Dax - Nissa	22:19

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