The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Northampton Saints 74.1%
Draw 3.4%
Bristol Rugby 22.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
78%
3.4%
18.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northampton Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Bristol Rugby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
Northampton Saints - Bristol Rugby Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 39:27
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Iyogun E.
1. Genge E.
2. Smith R.
2. Thacker H.
3. Millar-Mills E.
3. Kloska G.
4. Coles A.
4. Dun J.
5. Prowse E.
5. Batley J.
6. Kemeny J.
6. Owen J.
7. Pollock H.
7. Harding F. (C)
8. Chick C.
8. Grondona S.
9. McParland A.
9. Randall H.
10. Smith F.
10. Jordan T.
11. Hendy G.
11. Ravouvou K.
12. Hutchinson R.
12. Williams J.
13. Litchfield T.
13. Janse van Rensburg B.
14. Freeman T.
14. Rees-Zammit L.
15. Furbank G. (C)
15. Lane R.
Substitutes
16. Walker H.
16. Gwilliam T.
17. Fischetti D.
17. Woolmore J.
18. Green L.
18. Lahiff M.
19. Mescht JJ
19. Taylor G.
20. Pearson T.
20. Ivanishvili L.
21. Graham S.
21. Marmion K.
22. Mitchell A.
22. Moroni M.
23. Dingwall F.
23. Heward N.
Coaches
. Dowson P.
. Lam P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (61 - 14)
3', Hendy G. (Try),
3', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
5', Thacker H. (Try),
6', Jordan T. (Conversion Goal),
7', Hutchinson R. (Try),
8', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
10', Chick C. (Try),
11', Smith F. (Missed Conversion),
13', Rees-Zammit L. (Try),
14', Williams J. (Conversion Goal),
21', Ravouvou K. 🟨,
21', Coles A. (Try),
22', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
23', McParland A. (Try),
24', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
28', Furbank G. (Conversion Goal),
29', Smith F. (Try),
30', Lane R. ↓, Heward N. ↑,
34', Hutchinson R. (Try),
35', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
35', Kloska G. ↓, Lahiff M. ↑,
37', Kemeny J. (Try),
38', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
40', Hendy G. (Try),
40', Batley J. 🟨,
40+1', Hutchinson R. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (33 - 19)
41', Pollock H. (Try),
42', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
43', Randall H. (Try),
44', Williams J. (Conversion Goal),
45', McParland A. (Try),
46', Smith F. (Missed Conversion),
51', Hendy G. (Try),
51', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
52', Iyogun E. ↓, Fischetti D. ↑,
52', Smith R. ↓, Walker H. ↑,
52', Millar-Mills E. ↓, Green L. ↑,
52', Janse van Rensburg B. ↓, Moroni M. ↑,
52', Kemeny J. ↓, Pearson T. ↑,
52', McParland A. ↓, Mitchell A. ↑,
52', Genge E. ↓, Woolmore J. ↑,
52', Grondona S. ↓, Ivanishvili L. ↑,
55', Prowse E. 🟨,
57', Furbank G. ↓, Dingwall F. ↑,
57', Ivanishvili L. (Try),
57', Williams J. (Missed Conversion),
61', Dun J. ↓, Taylor G. ↑,
63', Randall H. ↓, Marmion K. ↑,
66', Thacker H. ↓, Gwilliam T. ↑,
68', Prowse E. ↓, Mescht JJ ↑,
71', Heward N. (Try),
71', Williams J. (Conversion Goal),
73', Freeman T. ↓, Graham S. ↑,
75', Moroni M. 🟨,
75', Graham S. (Try),
76', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
79', Hendy G. (Try),
79', Litchfield T. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership Rugby (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton Saints won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, Northampton Saints is a strong favorite.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Northampton Saints won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 543:604. (average 28.6:31.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Northampton Saints won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 301:241. (average 33.4:26.8).