Match Info

European Rugby Champions Cup - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Ernest-Wallon (Toulouse)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
United-kingdom	FloSports app, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
World	EPCR Rugby TV


	Toulouse		Bristol Rugby

	1	X	2
	1.02	34	13
	1.02	40	12
	1.03	33.82	14.13	Watch
	1.02	34	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.02 ↑ (1.01)	35.46 ↓ (41.67)	12.78 ↓ (15.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 67.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-26)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toulouse
90.2%

Draw
2.6%

Bristol Rugby
7.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

91.9%

2.2%

5.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Bristol Rugby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Toulouse - Bristol Rugby Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 47:21

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ainuu D.	1. Genge E.
2. Mauvaka P.	2. Oghre G.
3. Aldegheri D.	3. Kloska G.
4. Flament T.	4. Dun J.
5. Meafou E.	5. Owen J.
6. Cros F.	6. Luatua S.
7. Willis J.	7. Harding F. (C)
8. Jelonch A.	8. Grondona B.
9. Dupont A. (C)	9. Randall H.
10. Ntamack R.	10. Jordan T.
11. Lebel M.	11. Ibitoye G.
12. Barassi P.	12. Williams J.
13. Gourgues K.	13. Janse van Rensburg B.
14. Thomas T.	14. Ravouvou K.
15. Ramos T.	15. Rees-Zammit L.
Substitutes
16. Lacombre T.	16. Thacker H.
17. Mallez P.	17. Woolmore J.
18. Merkler J.	18. Lahiff M.
19. Brennan J.	19. Taylor G.
20. Banos L.	20. Ivanishvili L.
21. Graou P.	21. Marmion K.
22. Chocobares S.	22. Moroni M.
23. Kinghorn B.	23. Heward N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (40 - 7)
5', Harding F. (Try),
6', Williams J. (Conversion Goal),
9', Willis J. (Try),
10', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
14', Mauvaka P. (Try),
15', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
16', Gourgues K. (Try),
17', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
20', Mauvaka P. (Try),
21', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
35', Lebel M. (Try),
40', Gourgues K. (Try),
40+1', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (19 - 19)
41', Lebel M. (Try),
46', Ravouvou K. (Try),
48', Ntamack R. 🟨,
54', Thomas T. (Try),
55', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
58', Thomas T. (Try),
59', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
70', Williams J. (Try),
70', Williams J. (Conversion Goal),
75', Heward N. (Try),
76', Williams J. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Bristol is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Toulouse is the undeniable favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Toulousain
French Top 14
28.03.26	Toulouse - Montpellier	45:29 ✺
22.03.26	Bordeaux Bègles - Toulouse	44:20 ✺
28.02.26	Toulouse - Montauban	68:13 ✺
15.02.26	Stade Français - Toulouse	9:13 ✺
31.01.26	Toulouse - Aviron Bayonnais	31:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWWW
- Bristol Rugby
English Premiership Rugby
28.03.26	Bristol Rugby - Harlequins	14:18 ✺
22.03.26	Leicester Tigers - Bristol Rugby	33:19 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
28.02.26	Bristol Rugby - Sale Sharks	36:41 ✺
14.02.26	Bath - Bristol Rugby	33:24 ✺
07.02.26	Bristol Rugby - Exeter Chiefs	35:46 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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