Match Info

Date: 3 February 2022, Thursday


	RC Narbonne		Provence Rugby

	1	X	2
	2.25	21	1.62
	2.35	23	1.61
	2.28	22	1.62
	2.38	19	1.62
	2.15	27	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.08)	22.4 ↓ (27)	1.64 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 44.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RC Narbonne
40.2%

Draw
4.1%

Provence Rugby
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

3.4%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

3.3%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RC Narbonne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Provence Rugby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RC Narbonne than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Provence Rugby than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

RC Narbonne - Provence Rugby Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. RC Narbonne will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Provence will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Provence: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 21:23

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Preview

RC Narbonne has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Provence Rugby is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches RC Narbonne won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 94-80.

Including matches at home between the teams RC Narbonne won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 36-18.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Narbonne
French Pro D2
21.01.22	Mont-De-Marsan - RC Narbonne	33:6 ✺
13.01.22	RC Narbonne - Agen	24:26 ✺
07.01.22	Stade Aurillacois - RC Narbonne	18:13 ✺
17.12.21	Oyonnax Rugby - RC Narbonne	70:0 ✺
10.12.21	RC Narbonne - Carcassonne	22:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Provence Rugby
French Pro D2
20.01.22	Provence Rugby - Colomiers	27:20 ✺
14.01.22	Bourg-en-Bresse - Provence Rugby	24:24 ✺
07.01.22	Provence Rugby - Béziers	20:15 ✺
17.12.21	Agen - Provence Rugby	20:18 ✺
10.12.21	Provence Rugby - Oyonnax Rugby	27:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
17.09.21	Provence Rugby - RC Narbonne	15:18
22.05.16	Provence Rugby - RC Narbonne	19:18
21.08.15	RC Narbonne - Provence Rugby	36:18
16.03.13	Provence Rugby - RC Narbonne	28:22

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